Monday, 2 February 2009
another tennis match with a slightly suspicious result? UPDATED
Make up your own mind on this one. Note this picture is the Inverse Axis graph, one showing % chance of winning.
Betfair have delayed settlement of this match, pending an investigation and discussion with the ATP I assume.
Antonio Veic, a player I had honestly never heard of before, started this match at a price of around 5.5 (18% winning chance). Guillermo Canas, a player nearing the end of his career and with two previous suspensions for taking banned substances was the heavy favourite, around 1.2.
Now from the graph, you'd think Veic won in straight sets. He didn't, he actually lost the first set, yet kept on shortening in price (increasing in percentage chance of winning).
Expect this one to be in the papers and dragging tennis back into the gutter again.
Without seeing the match, it's hard to hang the bloke. He may have rolled an ankle and battled hard to win the first set despite really struggling. But any betting forum will tell you this one looks mighty fishy.
UPDATE - The HeraldSun has picked up on the story here.
There is a photo of Canas receiving treatment on his shoulder in this Australian forum, but no indication of exactly when the timeout was taken.
FINAL UPDATE - Betfair, I assume with the assistance of the ATP, have made a decision.
PBZ Zagreb Indoors Tennis Tournament – Canas v Veic first round match settlement.
We have investigated the markets offered on the match between Canas and Veic at the PBZ Indoors in Croatia. After detailed analysis we are satisfied the market reflected the event and in accordance with our terms and conditions the market will be settled shortly.
No doubt betting forums around the globe will be alive with conspiracy theories about this one....