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Melbourne Cup preview 2018

Ah the Melbourne Cup, the envy of the world, what a race. And this year it ties in with my birthday as well, so giddyup, that has to mean a big collect doesn't it? :)

If only it was so easy. There's a bit of rain forecast during the day which is unlikely to affect the going (sand profile, drains incredibly well) apart from making it a little slippery on top so backmarkers may find it tricky to accelerate when required as they struggle for grip.
A lot of fuss can be made about the draw - it's about 900m (4.5f to the first bend) so there is plenty of time to get across into position. Having a positive jockey is a big asset. There was been six winners in the past 30 runnings drawn 20+, so if you fancy one out wide, talk it down as a huge negative and then cop a better price!

The Lexus Melbourne Cup Group 1, 3200m, AU$7.3m Flemington, 1500 local. 0400 GMT

1. Best Solution - quite simply the best horse in the race, seeking to become the first topweight to win the Cups d…
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Victoria Derby preview

The greatest day in world racing is upon us again, and it comes to us from the world's greatest city - Melbourne. The city is abuzz with Cup fever but before that, it's the purist's race day - Derby Day. Flemington will be in magnificent condition ahead of the four day carnival, and we've got a new contributor stepping to provide feature previews over the week.
It's a warm welcome to the team at StatsInsider. Find them on Twitter here.

I'll also be chipping in with a few previews over the week where time permits. And if you fancy penning a preview yourself, please drop me a line!


Victoria Derby Betting Preview By Aaron Murphy on 1-Nov, time of writing 14:55.
The opening feature of Flemington’s spring carnival is nearly upon us, and the Stats Insider racing model is in for a profitable week after a solid start to it's ratings. Probably the biggest day of the year for the racing purist given the quality of the entire program, with four Group 1s and the re…

Caulfield Cup preview 2018

All eyes on Caulfield this week for the first of the traditional spring features.The influx of international raiders isn't quite as deep as initially feared but it still complicates proceedings heavily. There's a strong hand from the locally-owned runners but the foreign trainers have finally twigged this is a race worth attacking on its own (amazing what $5m will do!).

On with my preview...


Stella Artois Caulfield Cup
Group 1, AUD 5,000,000, 2400m
Caulfield 1640 local, 0640 BST

Best Solution: clearly the best horse in the race on the back of multiple European Group race wins. Stablemates arrived in great form, as displayed by Benbatl last week, so no concern about first-up in Australia. Concedes weight for narrow wins this season over Duretto and Sound Check but races in a style where he rarely does more than required to win. Drawn 15 after emergencies come out, likely to push forward, may get caught on a limb and then have to work up the hill to…