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Showing posts from October, 2021

Melbourne Cup runner-by-runner preview 2021

It's a funny Cup this year, with the world still dealing with (hopefully) the backend of a pandemic and the tighter veterinary regulation over imported runners, we have a largely Australian-trained field with just a handful of exceptions. Many locals will love it, "the form is easier to read", others will hate it "it shows just how bad our depth of local stayers really is" - either way, just deal with it and get on with finding the winner! The favourite Incentivise bids to be the first horse to win the Cups double since Ethereal in 2001 but the horse everyone keeps comparing him to is Might And Power in 1997 who won at Caulfield by a street, then literally fell in by a nostril at Flemington when Greg Hall famously thought he'd won on Doriemus.     With the favourite at around 6/4, for most punters it will come down to a simple for or against Incentivise. But don't forget there's plenty of money to chase in the exotic pools, even if the favour

Caulfield Cup preview 2021

The pandemic and the new screening restrictions on equine visitors from Europe make this a fairly mediocre Caulfield Cup. The top few in the original weights haven't accepted so we have the ridiculous situation of a topweight of 55.5kg - when the standard limit weight is only marginally below that for a run-of-the-mill race. Which makes it even harder to get top jockeys, the pool of which is already diluted by the Everest in Sydney. This race looked absolutely perfect for the front-running favourite, Incentivise, but the barrier draw has thrown a spanner in the works. He's drawn the extreme outside, 20 (18 after emergencies come out), a test last overcome by Dunaden back in 2012, but he came late with a sweeping run down the outside. Mer De Glace also won from 17 in 2019. Could he be the new Might And Power? Australian punters love a front-running champion! Might And Power was an absolute machine. 💪💪💪 — 7HorseRacing 🐎 (@7horseracing) October 14,

Qatar Prix de L'Arc de Triomphe preview

The best Flat race in Europe if not the world, but this year it seems a bit like a race in Dubai, all for the internationals rather than the locals, with the best of the locals currently priced at 25/1. Hopefully that's just a blip for the French industry, they've won the last couple after all. You do have to wonder about the French though, they're making a big deal of that @racingblogger bloke... QATAR PRIX DE L'ARC DE TRIOMPHE of €5,000,000 Group 1, 2400m, WFA, no geldings ParisLongchamp, Sunday 1605 local, 1505 UK, 0105 Melbourne Predicted Going - Soft/Very Soft 1. Torquator Tasso (12) - Has campaigned all his career in Germany before this, so it's tricky to get a line on just how good he is. One would think if they've waited this long to have a crack at international riches, then he's just a reserve-grade champion rather than a big time Charlie. Won the G1 Grosser Preis von Baden in September, beating Godolphin's Passion And Glory by nearly 5L. P