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Showing posts from February, 2015

Oakleigh Plate preview

Caulfield's headline 'autumn' day features a card full of Group and Listed races, including the Blue Diamond, Futurity Stakes and the return of devastating Melbourne Cup winner Protectionist in the Peter Young Stakes. But the most competitive betting race of them all is the Group 1 Oakleigh Plate, a mad dash over the slightly unusual distance of 1100m.

Taking the reins with the preview is Aussie form expert @BrisburghPhil.

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Oakleigh Plate
G1 Handicap, 1100m
5.15pm local time, 0615 GMT

This is one of the best handicap sprint races in the country, probably my favourite to be quite honest, at 1200m or under. But then again I’m not a great fan of the big sprints down the Flemington straight, so I’m probably biased in that respect. I have also had some great results personally in the past seven years or so. I think the most unique thing about this race is that barriers play very little part in the result. In fact you are probably better off drawing wide than c…

Chipping Norton Stakes preview

The build-up to The Championships continues with a trip out to Warwick Farm, one of the lesser-used courses in Sydney, at least where feature races are concerned. The Chipping Norton is a Group 1 race over the metric mile but it also serves as a big pointer towards the rest of the autumn.

Joining the blog for the first time is astute Sydney racing judge Ben McDermott, @BTMcDermott. Welcome aboard!

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2015 Chipping Norton Stakes
Group 1 WFA, 1600m, Warwick Farm
4.15pm local time, 0515 GMT
Preview by Ben McDermott
Twitter - @BTMcDermott

Form guide

Odds comparison

Runners by number order as follows

Foreteller (Collett/ Waller) His first up run in the Apollo was encouraging and will take improvement from that run (Ran the fourth best final 600m (34.52). Draws inside which is a little awkward for this horse but will go back and run on. Not keen, I feel he will appreciate stepping up in distance following this race.

Boban (Schofield/ Waller) I labelled him on twit…

Inter Dominion Final preview

Australasian harness racing has plenty of feature events - the Hunter Cup, Miracle Mile, Victoria Cup, NZ Trotting Cup etc., but the time-honoured trophy has always been the Inter Dominion Championship. The format has been varied for the last couple of years (Gloucester Park to the rescue from next year) but the history books will still say ID Champion 2015.

Analysing the final is harness enthusiast and aspiring racecaller Luke Humphreys, @worldracingluke. Forgive him for not focussing too much on the betting angle, he's not even half-way through high school yet!

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Inter Dominion – Grand Final
Tabcorp Park Menangle, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Sunday March 1
Race 7 - 3:42pm local time, 0442 GMT
3009 metres – Mobile
Pacers

Heat Highlights replay link - Full heat replays linked under each runner.

Odds comparison

1: LENNYTHESHARK: Impressive enough when winning his heat, in Victoria, when having a comfortable lead and able to sprint home in 55.3. He was sec…

Five Festival Hail Marys

It's so close now you can almost taste it! But before we all trek to Cheltenham, it's the fun and games of the Preview circuit to get the blood pumping. If you're on other side of the Irish Sea, then I suggest you get to the Dublin Racing Club preview this week.



In return for the plug, they've provided this longshot preview from 'resident hot air merchant' Stephen Cass, @cassstephen from the Dublin Racing Club.

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Five Festival Hail MarysStephen Cass

Maybe it is just me but the ante-post markets this year have felt something of a dead duck. The Willie Mullins guessing game, the short priced favourites on the Tuesday, and bookmakers' reticence to offer ante post allowances has made for a more muted build-up.

Last year Bet Victor had a fantastic non-runner free bet promotion from January onwards. Safe in the knowledge if they returned your ante post cash in the form of a free bet, you would punt it again Cheltenham week. It’s very possible …

Eider Chase preview

Newcastle's big Chase of the season takes place tomorrow, the grinding Eider Chase, a long old slog which seems to have been run on bottomless ground regularly in recent years. Not so tomorrow, Chris Day, @chrisday100, with the preview.

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Betfred Eider Chase
£70,000 4m1f Newcastle

The Eider Chase is traditionally one of the most gruelling tests of the jump season, historically run on heavy ground at Newcastle in mid February and for many years was recognised Grand National trial.

This card may not house the Aintree winner for this year but, as a stand alone race, provides some good quality stuff to get our teeth stuck into from a betting perspective with a full field of 18 declared on unusually good to soft ground.

Emma Lavelle's top weight, Shotgun Paddy, winner of last year's Classic Chase at Warwick, is a deserving favourite, having followed a disappointing effort in the Welsh National over Christmas with a strong staying third in this year…

BetBright Chase preview

Just three weeks to the Festival and not a lot of quality jumping left before the finest week in British racing. Once known as the Racing Post Chase, the naming rights of this Kempton feature handicap have been taken over by BetBright.

Sharing his shrewd assessment of this contest is regular contributor Chris Day, @chrisday100

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BetBright Chase
£100,000 Grade 3 Handicap
Kempton 15.45 GMT

In its heyday, the Racing Post Chase featured some of the most progressive chasers in training and was seen as a stepping stone to the Gold Cup itself.

Recent editions have, however been slightly more modest and this year seems to be carrying on the trend.

Top weight from a mark of 155 is the Nicky Henderson trained Radjhani Express, who put up his best performance in finishing third in last year's Ryanair Chase. He won over this course as a novice and, on ground no worse than good to soft, could be given a realistic chance. However, the ground appears likely to be soft…

Black Caviar Lightning Stakes preview

It's Autumn Carnival time in Australia and the racing heats right up at Flemington this weekend with the first leg of the sprinters' Triple crown, the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes. The mighty mare won this race three times in her career, now it's up to the next generation to take over. Lankan Rupee has already taken the mantle of world's best sprinter, but two rising stars in Deep Field and Brazen Beau will provide very worthy opposition for him in this affair.

Returning to the blog for the autumn features is Mitch Fenton from UBET.

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2015 Black Caviar Lightning Stakes
Group 1, WFA, 1000m
Flemington, Saturday
1635 local time, 0535 GMT
Form guide
Odds comparison

IN-DEPTH PREVIEW by Mitch Fenton, @mitchfenton88, from UBet.

1.LANKAN RUPEE

The shining class runner in the event which unfortunately doesn't have the depth you'd hope for in a Group 1.

After dominating this time last year with Oakleigh Plate and Newmarket Handicap wins, both in…

Qld InterDominion Heat preview

The InterDominion series begins this weekend around Australia with the final to be run at Menangle on Sunday March 1. Preview by Darren Clayton, Racing Queensland handicapper, @dashman01.

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QUEENSLAND INTERDOMINION HEAT PREVIEW 2015
Sky Racing Interdominion Heat 3
Albion Park, Brisbane
Mobile Start, starting 7 across the front
8.00pm Local time

Current Tatts market
Link to form guide with replays

The Queensland Heat of the Interdominion will be the third heat held in the back-to-back running of the five heats across four states of Australia. With so much commentary on the format, one could wax lyrical about "the good old days" but that’s a discussion for another time and we will look solely at the Queensland Heat and who will be the sole Banana-bender to automatically progress to the big Final.

Runner by runner the field lines up like this
Avonnova- the free legged monster will be out to atone for his defeat in this same race 12 months ago at the hooves of Fo…

Apollo Stakes preview

The racing action starts to get serious in Sydney as they crank up towards the the autumn carnival and The Championships. Charged with the preview is Andrew Capelin of ACmarkets.com.au. He provides betting recommendations with reasons, rated prices and staking plans for NSW racing as well as the major Australian racing carnivals.

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Apollo Stakes
G2 WFA 1400m
Randwick
Preview by Andrew Capelin
Twitter - @ACMarkets
Website - ACMarkets

The Apollo Stakes is a Randwick Group 2 1400 Weight For Age race first run in 1977. Traditionally a lead up to the Group 1 races of the Autumn it has been won by some exceptional horses of the past including Sunline, Lonhro, Grand Armee and Racing To Win. There were 15 acceptors and Chris Waller will saddle up numbers 1-6. I am looking to invest outside the Waller stable in this race. Here is the preview and my reasons why.

BOBAN G Schofield/ C Waller 5yo gelding 2nd up off a 28 day break. He i…

Football Form Labs weekend preview

Not getting enough of your football betting? Looking through a form table is easy, but how do you quantify the absence of a key player? How does the absence of a striker, a midfielder or a centre-back translate to goals and results?

Put some stats behind your gut instincts and work out when to lump on and when to steer clear of a sucker bet. One of the very best in the business is Football Form Labs who have shared their wisdom with a preview of some of this week's action. You can also follow Football Form Labs on Twitter, @footballformlab

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Excerpts from the Football Form Lab Weekender email.

PREVIEW: Tottenham v Arsenal (Sat, 12:45)

The North London Derby kicks off the Premier League weekend and both sides come into this game on the back of impressive results. Arsenal thumped Villa 5-0 at the Emirates while Spurs won convincingly away against a rejuvenated West Brom following the appointment of Tony Pulis. After Southampton’s defeat against Swansea, Arsenal a…

Hunter Cup preview

Last week in the Victoria Cup, we saw aggressive early driving from Dexter Dunn simply pinch the race on Christen Me as nobody else was prepared to take him on. That's part and parcel of shorter races, particularly at feature level, but extended to 3280m, it's a whole different ball game. The Hunter Cup is the supreme staying test of harness racing in Australia, and the cream from NZ cross the Tasman for it as well - in fact they dominate the betting.

Returning to the blog this week is aspiring young racecaller Luke Humphreys, @WorldRacingLuke.

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Del-Re National Food Group Hunter Cup
Group 1, 3280m
Standing Start, no handicaps. Seven across the front.
2130 local time, 1030 GMT

Form Guide with links to replays

Latest markets

1 PHILADELPHIA MAN: Good enough when 5th in last week’s G1 Victoria Cup after having a soft run. One start from the stand and that was a 2nd in the G2 Shepparton Gold Cup which was disappointing but he began well that night. Draw could be…

Betfair Hurdle preview

Just over a month ago until Cheltenham, and feature races are starting to thin out as everyone keeps their stars wrapped in cotton wool for the Festival. The Betfair Hurdle though is an exception. amazing what a big wad of cash will do...

With the preview, it's regular contributor Chris Day, @chrisday100

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Betfair Hurdle
Newbury
Grade 3 Handicap, 2m 110y, £155k.
1535 GMT

The Betfair Hurdle, run under various guises since my early memories of it as The Schweppes Hurdle, is the most valuable handicap hurdle run in Britain and, not surprisingly, has a roll of honour which includes many horses who go on to compete in top open or novice company at the Cheltenham Festival and beyond.

As we’d also expect, the race lends itself to unexposed younger horses who have only partly shown their hand to the handicapper and we’re probably best looking at five and six year olds in order to unearth the winner.

Heading the weights from a mark of 149 is Nicky Henderson’s Willi…

A plug for a great cycling tipping service

Year on year Wheeliebets (www.wheeliebets.com) continues to improve its service and the results are obvious. Massive returns on investments compared to other tipsters not only in cycling but across other mainstream sports.

Not only is Wheeliebets the least expensive professional cycling service, it's also the longest standing with results backed up and independently verified. You can have confidence in a service that provides direct tipping to your phone, an in-play service, a free-to-view blog with previews of all races as well as the premium inside knowledge of those on the professional circuit.

Let's see can we beat our numbers from last year as shown hereunder

Points Staked 683

Points Returned 898

Annual Profit in Points 215

Annual Return on Investment - 134% (Returns/Stake) - that's based on a season of 9 months

A Euro per point on all bets made you €215 overall, think about that - imagine y…

Superbowl XLIX preview

Bit of a tradition on the blog to call upon the services of my old mate Ian Steven, @deevo82, to preview the Superbowl. You won't be disappointed...

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Super Bowl 49

Just like a knob of butter, Super Bowl 49 is balanced finely on a knife edge as two teams so closely matched that you’d struggle to get a mosquito’s dinkle in between them, look set to face off in what could well be one of the best games in recent memory.

The old adage that the bookmaker rarely gets it wrong has been thrown out the window as most bookies have the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots on identical odds around the 1.91 mark – which means the Lombardi trophy will be shared with the match called a draw. Well, not quite. So, if the bookies can’t call a winner – can we?

Let’s start with the defending champions, the Seattle Seahawks, who are looking to be the first team to repeat their previous year’s success since the Patriots accomplished that feat in 2005.

As always we start wit…