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Biathlon World Championships - women's individual

This is the most open of all the races at the World Champs, the Betfair market is currently 6.2 the field.

The Individual discipline is slightly different to the other forms (sprint, pursuit and mass start). It's longer - 15km for the women, so they ski five x 3km laps, with four shooting rounds interspersed - two in the prone position (easier for most), two in the standing (very difficult to keep your heart rate down after skiing flat out for so long). But the killer part for trading - any misses in the shooting incur an automatic one minute penalty, not having to ski a penalty loop of about 25 secs as per the other events.

So the shooters come to the fore here. Miss five targets out of 20, and you are automatically five minutes behind the clear shooter. There won't be too many (if any) shooting clear, but keeping those misses to an absolute minimum, even by taking an extra 15 seconds to shoot is vital.

The cute choker Magdalena Neuner isn't competing, this event isn't her forte, so the favourite is Swede Helena Jonsson who won the Pursuit on Sunday with only two misses. Slower skiers with very good shooting records - Solveig Rogstad, Marie Laure Brunet and Natalia Levchenkova.

The men's individual yesterday had two longshots in the placings, and that is definitely on the cards.

Trading advice - keep laying the short ones, but don't take on too much risk. Any Other always trades too low as well, there are 20 runners already in the Betfair market, highly unlikely the winner will come from there. The more runners you can lay, the better your overall book becomes as there should be several competitors in with a chance of winning during the race.

Starts shortly on Eurosport 1!

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