Wednesday tennis action

Like a few tomorrow, here goes:

Hradecka to beat Suarez Navarro 3.1

The Czech has almost halved her ranking this year and is underrated. The Spaniard has a lot of hype about her since her performance in Melbourne, and while she deserves to be favourite, she shouldn't be this short. Hradecka belted her R1 opponent, she's running hot after reaching the final in Strasbourg last week.

Rus to beat Shvedova 2.8

The Dutch teenager is maturing well and starting to make her mark against the older women. Like Shvedova, she has won through qualifying. The gap between them in ranking isn't that much and winning 14 of her last 18 has her in a nice rhythm.

Hercog to beat Rezai 2.8

Really like this Slovenian teenager, 25-3 this year on clay, beat Kleybanova R1. Rezai hits the ball really hard, but with blustery conditions forecast, she might find it harder than normal.

Lay Ferrer vs Kiefer at 1.15

The Spaniard is starting get found out on the tour, he is limited but does what he got very, very well. Never much harm in laying at 1/6.

Lay Simon vs Kendrick at 1.16

Simon really struggled against Odesnik in R1, and he's not that flash. The Frenchman has really looked a showed of his best this season. Kendrick really had the serve going, hitting 35 aces and 85 winners. These two met six wks ago, the break pt tally was similar but Kendrick's serve was nowhere - 0 aces. He's warm now, if that serve keeps going, Simon is in for a long day.

All single unit bets.

UPDATE

Poor effort from the women. Rus was atrocious, lucky to even win a game. Hradecka wasn't up to an in-form Suarez Navarro, while Hercog threw away a 6-3 3-1 lead. Kendrick had two set points in the first and then collapsed. All down to Kiefer now..

Comments

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur

Spot-fixing - you will never, ever be able to stop it

According to this report , IPL tournaments so far have been rife with spot-fixing - that is fixing minor elements of the game - runs in a single over, number of wides bowled etc. The curious part of that article is that the Income Tax department are supposed to have found these crimes. What idiot would be stupid enough to put down 'big wad of cash handed to me by bookie' as a source of income? Backhanders for sportsmen, particularly in a celebrity- and cricket-obsessed culture like India are not rare. They could come from anything like turning up to open someone's new business (not a sponsor, but a 'friend of a friend' arrangement), to being a guest at some devoted fan's dinner party etc. The opportunities are always there, and there will always be people trying to become friends with players and their entourage - that is human nature. This form of match-fixing (and it's not really fixing a match, just a minor element of it) is very hard to prove, but also,

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

Sport is made for betting

Search This Blog