Skip to main content

domestic rugby starts this weekend

Bored with the round-ball game yet? The Guinness Premiership and Magner's League rugby competitions start this weekend. Anyone would think rugby players and fans like a drink :)

As a sport which is popular but not rammed down your throat by every form of media, there is plenty of value available in trading and if you do your homework.

Here are some previews for the new season:

Guinness Premiership club-by-club

Guinness Premiership season preview

The experts have their say

GP preview 2009-10

Betfair trading on rugby, domestic rugby in particular, is very different to the rather simple methods on football. As the scoring system varies (try, conversion, penalty,and drop goal), field position counts for plenty, and most crucially, there is no market suspension when a team scores, you have to be on your own toes. But if making things a little more difficult makes it easier for those who do the hard work to make a profit, then so be it. With lower volumes traded, it makes it easier to get a better return on your trading, unless you want to bet in thousands.

Hopefully my mate Rugby Ken will relaunch his blog (Magners League, Heineken Cup and Six Nations), he was nicely in front last season. Look for it in my blogroll to the right.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

Racing has a Ponzi scheme - and the fallout will be enormous

When the term 'Ponzi scheme' is mentioned these days, the names Bernard Madoff and Allen Stanford instantly spring to mind. The pair of them ran multi-billion dollar frauds (US$60bn and $8bn respectively) that destroyed the lives of thousands of investors who had put their life savings into a 'wonderful' investment strategy. How so many people were sucked into the scheme is baffling to those on the outside. The lifestyle, the sales pitch, the success stories of the early investors - I suppose it all adds up.

So where does this link to racing you ask? A prominent Australian 'racing identity' this week has been reported to have lost access to a bank account with punters' club funds of $194m in it. Firstly - is there a worse term for anyone to be labelled with that 'racing identity'? It ALWAYS ends up meaning shonky crook! Secondly - who the hell has a punters' club with an active bankroll in the tens of millions? It simply can't be done.

The…

damage control when trading goals

When trades go bad, some people will say cut your losses immediately, others will recommend having a bit of patience as events tend to level out (i.e. games with two goals in the first 10 mins never end up with 18 goals in 90 minutes). This is something I like to do on certain matches.

Background:
1. You've backed Under 2.5 goals, trying to nick a few ticks at a time as the clock ticks.
2. You've been caught out by a goal.
3. The market has gone sharply against you.

On this particular match from a couple of weeks ago, there was an early goal (sixth minute) before I got involved. The period immediately after an early goal regularly shows a sharp drop in the Under price, so I was trying to capitalise on that. But Watford then scored again after 14 minutes. The Back price I took (3.95) was now out to 12 - I could close out for a big loss (not my style) or wait and wait for the price to come back to somewhere I could close out for minimal damage. But at 2-0 after 15 minutes, it w…