Skip to main content

Wimbledon finals form

Preview of mine as posted by Betfair Australia...

Wimbledon finals form
Labels:

Comments

  1. DelBoy7 July 2010 at 00:30

    Hi Scott

    Been reading your column for a few months now. You seem to be a man with access to a lot of information and realise you might be able to help me understand the logic behind the banning of in play sport in Australia and how is Horse racing not a sport.

    I've been trading tennis full time for while now and for family reasons have to move to Australia. As I'm not able to trade in play I wonder if I could have them up for restraint of trade ;)

    Thanks

    Derek

    ReplyDelete
  2. Scott7 July 2010 at 00:50

    Hi Derek,

    Australian state govts are addicted to poker (fruit/slot) machines more than any punter, they are everywhere, with the exception of WA. The states have sold off all their assets and now survive too heavily on revenue from speed cameras and those evil poker machines. The anti-gambling lobby holds enough power in the media (and thus with govts) that the govt had to do something to stop the sharp increase in problem gambling that comes with those pointless one-armed bandits. But, if they banned them, it would screw every state govt and close down a lot of pubs, which also rely on them. So the govt decided to make a big song and dance about shutting down betting in-running before it had effectively started, because it 'might' become the crack cocaine of gambling, allowing punters to bet on crazy things, like next goal, next game won etc, and quickly blow their cash. At the time, the TABs, which held the power (and mostly still do) for sports betting weren't technologically capable of offering such a service anyway, so it didn't cost the govts anything to ban it. The hypocrisy of still being able to place the same bets via a voice call over the very same phone line didn't seem to concern anyone.

    There's a review of that legislation currently underway, every company is calling for it, the reports commissioned have called for it... so thus the govt will probably ignore it like everything else that they can't see votes in.

    It really is a ridiculous piece of legislation and one reason why I'm quite happy living in the UK. Of course, it only affects betting firms licensed within Australia, so if you choose to bet with Bet365, Betdaq, Hills etc, they won't stop you...

    ReplyDelete
  3. DelBoy11 July 2010 at 00:44

    Thanks for that Scott.

    Interesting the effect on the market if it was legal to gamble in Australia and USA.

    Was at a Betfair seminar in Brisbane earlier this year and the general consensus there was that there was a significant number of people 'in play' betting in those countries by various other means. Obviously difficult to put a number on it.

    Enjoy your blog.

    Derek

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Thanks for your comments, but if you're a spammer, you've just wasted your time - it won't get posted.

Popular posts from this blog

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur
14 comments
Read more

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...
33 comments
Read more

Wimbledon preview - women

Unfortunately this year I don't have the time to write comprehensive Slam previews anymore so I'll sum this one up pretty quickly - it's all about Serena. 1 - Serena Williams. In incredible form. Since bombing out in R1 of the French Open last year, she has lost just three times - to Kerber (Cincinnati QF), to Stephens (Aus Open QF) and to Azarenka (Doha final). She has won three of the last four Wimbledon finals plus the Olympic gold last year where she dropped just 17 games in six rounds, against opponents which included four former world #1s. All that considered though, I can't have her at 1/2 (1.50) on Betfair. She just has to be opposed. I can't put a finger on who is going to beat her, but I have to side with her prospective opponents. If you want a smokey to put some small change on, try Maria Kirilenko. Her record in the Slam isn't so great but it has been improving - a best result of R4 last year beaten by finalist Radwanska 7-5 in the third, and
Post a Comment
Read more