Skip to main content

betting scandals galore

It hasn't been a great week for the betting industry and sporting integrity. On top of the Pakistan cricket spot-fixing scandal and today's Hereford racing farce, there have been a couple of other sports raising eyebrows.

At the US Open last night, Alexandr Dolgopolov was a huge late drifter from 3.5 out to 7 (losing 0-3 backed into 1.1) and consequently lost in straight sets to David Ferrer, a player he was very competitive against just a few weeks ago. After the match, his poor performance was put down to feeling unwell. Perhaps that's all it was, but it seems as if every man and his dog knew about it and bet accordingly. This kid has far too much talent to waste, but it's not the first match with suspicious betting patterns he has been involved in.

The big story in Australian sport has been in the NRL. Rugby league in Australia has had a few suspicious betting stories over the years, now it sounds like the authorities have finally got their act together and might do something about it. Last year, there were strong allegations that the Sydney Roosters threw the last game of the season (as slight outsiders in the match originally, the win by 13+ margin for their opponents was backed off the map and duly saluted), and in previous years there have been cases of First Tryscorer being backed off the map, particularly in Manly games. People don't bet seriously in the First Tryscorer or First Scoring Play markets unless something is fishy.

This incident was a couple of weeks ago, a match between North Queensland and Canterbury, late in the season, with neither side still able to reach the finals series. In rugby league, penalty goals are unlikely to open the scoring unless it's wet. Tries are the most common way of scoring, unlike rugby union, when a kick is quite regularly the first scoring play. These betting markets usuallly attract only a handful of bets, and nothing of serious note. However, when lumpy bets started coming in on Nth Qld penalty goal at 8.0 with bookmakers around Australia, bookies all smelt a rat. After the first few bets, particularly from punters betting 10x their normal bet size, or from punters who have prior history of being involved in games of questionable integrity, bookies pulled the market down.

Interestingly, North Queensland had the option of getting off the mark by scoring with a penalty goal, but elected to go for a try instead. My guess is they'd been tipped off that people were watching very closely. They certainly are now...

Top cops tackle betting scandal

Player agent is part of NRL bet probe


Last year it took the Victorian Government's Gambling and Corruption body to get involved to force the NRL to investigate. This year it seems they have gotten the hint, but whether anything comes of it in the form of harsh penalties is another matter.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

Wimbledon preview - women

Unfortunately this year I don't have the time to write comprehensive Slam previews anymore so I'll sum this one up pretty quickly - it's all about Serena. 1 - Serena Williams. In incredible form. Since bombing out in R1 of the French Open last year, she has lost just three times - to Kerber (Cincinnati QF), to Stephens (Aus Open QF) and to Azarenka (Doha final). She has won three of the last four Wimbledon finals plus the Olympic gold last year where she dropped just 17 games in six rounds, against opponents which included four former world #1s. All that considered though, I can't have her at 1/2 (1.50) on Betfair. She just has to be opposed. I can't put a finger on who is going to beat her, but I have to side with her prospective opponents. If you want a smokey to put some small change on, try Maria Kirilenko. Her record in the Slam isn't so great but it has been improving - a best result of R4 last year beaten by finalist Radwanska 7-5 in the third, and