Womens 400m
Very interesting race this. Sanya Richards-Ross is the odds-on favourite, but has a history of choking in major events. Antonina Krivoshapka went off like a scalded cat in the semi and fell in to record the fastest time of the round, marginally ahead of Trotter and Williams-Mills. In the final, the Russian is drawn in five, one inside Richards-Ross. So one goes too fast, and the other one tries to match her and chokes… or is that too simple? I was most impressed with Amantle Montsho in the semi, a very conservative run just pressing McCorory (who was flat out) in the closing stages. Considering Montsho is the reigning World Champion, she's a massive price at some of the prices quoted. Ohuruogu might just ride the crest of the British wave of success, will have her running for us in a lay of the two favs.
Lay Richards-Ross (around 1.6) risking one unit on Betfair
Include Krivoshapka in the lay if under 5.0 (use Payout function to level up the risk)
1pt Back Montsho 13 WillHill, 11 BetVictor (bet down to 8)
Mens 100m
Bolt and Blake both had plenty in hand in the heats - was Bolt protecting an injury concern, or just his usual playing around? I backed Blake several weeks ago at a much bigger price, wouldn't be keen to take the current 2.5 unless I saw something more in the semis. Can't see anyone getting close to them, and predicted rain may affect any crack at the world record. The track is quick, a dry race with Bolt at 100% could give the record a shake.
No bet for now
My aths figures to date:
BETS 3 : P&L : -2.7
Very interesting race this. Sanya Richards-Ross is the odds-on favourite, but has a history of choking in major events. Antonina Krivoshapka went off like a scalded cat in the semi and fell in to record the fastest time of the round, marginally ahead of Trotter and Williams-Mills. In the final, the Russian is drawn in five, one inside Richards-Ross. So one goes too fast, and the other one tries to match her and chokes… or is that too simple? I was most impressed with Amantle Montsho in the semi, a very conservative run just pressing McCorory (who was flat out) in the closing stages. Considering Montsho is the reigning World Champion, she's a massive price at some of the prices quoted. Ohuruogu might just ride the crest of the British wave of success, will have her running for us in a lay of the two favs.
Lay Richards-Ross (around 1.6) risking one unit on Betfair
Include Krivoshapka in the lay if under 5.0 (use Payout function to level up the risk)
1pt Back Montsho 13 WillHill, 11 BetVictor (bet down to 8)
Mens 100m
Bolt and Blake both had plenty in hand in the heats - was Bolt protecting an injury concern, or just his usual playing around? I backed Blake several weeks ago at a much bigger price, wouldn't be keen to take the current 2.5 unless I saw something more in the semis. Can't see anyone getting close to them, and predicted rain may affect any crack at the world record. The track is quick, a dry race with Bolt at 100% could give the record a shake.
No bet for now
My aths figures to date:
BETS 3 : P&L : -2.7
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