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swimming preview Saturday

A blank drawn on Friday, so any profit from the week will now be minimal as pickings are very slim on the final day.

P&L now stands at

BETS 19 (one still open)
TURNOVER (settled) 24 units
PROFIT +0.07 units


Womens 50 Free

Kromiwidjojo won her semi easily, by 0.38s, and now her price has crashed. She should have been 1.5 or so after her 100m gold but for some reason, she stayed around the evens mark. Now she's 1.3 and that's about right.

Already advised - 1 unit Kromiwidjojo 2.1 (Thursday)

No bet

Mens 1500 Free

Sun Yang should win this by plenty, he has had 10 seconds on his rivals for a couple of years, although these guys don't tend to swim the distance that often. Can't see any w/o Yang markets except for the illiquid one on Betfair, so have to pass.

No bet

Womens 4x100 Medley Relay

The Americans might have only come in fourth in their semi-final, but don't be fooled. They will make at least three changes to their line-up and should win this easily, having taken gold at 100m in two of the four strokes and second by a fingernail in another. Australia have had an ordinary meet and although their one gold came from a women's relay, I can't see them adding to that column.

No bet

Mens 4x100 Medley Relay

The market expects this to be an easy 1-2 for the USA followed by Australia, and it's hard to disagree. The Americans could replace all of their heat swimmers, while Australia will swap at least a couple. The race for third though looks more appetising with a few chances. GB won their morning heat, beating Australia who coasted in - you have to stuff up pretty badly to miss out on the final, the depth isn't like individual races. GB will probably have one substitution - Jamieson in for the breaststroke, replacing Benson. Japan looked to be full strength in the heats, so apart from giving it everything, I can't see too much improvement to come from them. The pressure has been overwhelming on the Brits in the pool, but this is one event where they won't be expected to claim a medal. They could just surprise and claim third.

0.5pt GB to claim a medal 4.0 William Hill (bet down to 3.5)

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