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Thursday swimming action

Close, but too few cigars over the last couple of days. We press on...

P&L now stands at

BETS 13
TURNOVER 18 units
PROFIT -1.51 units

Mens 200 Back
Mens 200 IM

These two finals are just 30mins apart for Lochte, who has known the programme for many months and prepared accordingly. The US Trials had the same schedule, there he won the backstroke by 0.34secs, but lost the IM by 0.09secs to Phelps. The trail of gold for Lochte hasn't quite worked out as brilliantly as it could have, but then again, we are comparing him to the GOAT - Michael Phelps and his effort in Beijing.

Lochte has always had the measure of his rivals in the backstroke, well, since Peirsol retired anyway. But he only needs to be a tiny bit off his best to be troubled by Clary or Irie - they have the times to stretch him, it will come down to whether that edge is off his performances or not. In the shorter medley, it comes down to that man Phelps who could just be inspired by landing more medals yesterday - his 200 free leg in the relay was faster than all bar Agnel so he is very close to his best form.

Safest play for me is lay Lochte in both races, risking one unit each time. If he is denied one gold, we are ahead. If unable to lay, I'd be backing both Clary & Irie in the backstroke, and just Phelps in the medley.

LAY Lochte 200IM around 1.4 to lose one unit
LAY Lochte 200 back around 1.35 to lose one unit


Womens 100 Free

Ranomi Kromowidjojo is the premier female sprint swimmer and is priced accordingly around 1.22. A better idea would be to back her for the 50m event, with the presumption being a win will shorten that price too.

1pt Kromowidjojo to win 50M freestyle (NOT THIS EVENT) 2.3 Bet365, take better than evens elsewhere

I'd be tempted by 3.0 or better on the Australian Schlanger in a w/o favourite market if any firm is willing to offer it.

Womens 200 Breast

Rebecca Soni will rub salt into our wounds from the 100m event where she was just touched out by hacking up in this one. A world record in the semis puts her two seconds ahead of her rivals.

No bet

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