Feature racing galore tomorrow, Melbourne, Sydney, Haydock, Leopardstown and probably numerous other places I've missed. Jon da Silva @creamontop looks across the Irish Sea at the feature race for the fillies and mares.....
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The Matron Stakes
Mile race for fillies and mares which is pretty easy - back the French horse. In the absence of a French dispute the quality of Fillies and Mares and think you could clever and avoid picking one. Then pick the best older horse as 3 year olds in a good year are fetishised to too short odds. That's how I do it.
None of which really helps in the Matron.
Assumes middling ground.
Alanza btn/behind by Emulous and Maybe. Arguably best ever last time chasing Strong Suit and ignoring runaway leader. 10/1 Arguments for.
Ballybacka Lady another one beaten by Emulous and without any obvious reasons to come from that. Close up to Duntle two starts back 20/1 Chance not obvious
Chachamaidee Been in good form and but for last race which reads as muddling from the book might be shorter 7/1 consistent
Emulous pretty solid till last run. 2 months off and back here as favourite. last year's good winner from a subsequent Group 1 winner (Together in US at Keeneland). 11/4 probably worthy Fav
Marvada generally been close to a few of these but well beaten by others 50/1
After [thought] been hammered in sprints now tries a mile. 33/1 Good luck.
Duntle beloved of Nick Mordin and winner of 3 of last 4. Only loss this year 1st group race she tried to a non inspiring type. 4/1 seems a tad short for me given others have some Group 1 and 2 form.
Ishvana steadily progressive including a large field group 3 at Ascot just nothing that screams she will step further 14/1 One that nags at me without quite pulling the bet trigger.
La Collina lovely 2 year old form beating Power and enhancing Maybe's reputation 25/1 if you still believe
Maybe [Not] returns to a Mile having tried everything else. Fared better than Alanza behind Giofra (french filly!) 13/2 for true believers
Which leaves Laugh Out Loud which bizarrely I am tipping at a sporting 10s. Yes she's 3. Yes she's coming off a shocker. I just think she's the best form this year when beating Mashoora. She won in France in one of those short straight races albeit handed an easy lead or doing a Buick as the French now call what they used to call doing a Dettori. She gets Murtagh which is a handy replacement for Buick. Like Emulous you have to ignore last time but at 10/1 I'm happy to be wrong 9 times in 10.
If any of this lot comes for the Sun Chariot I suspect the winner will be none of these and the likely French or Elusive Kate, the 3 year old you can believe in.
--------------
The Matron Stakes
Mile race for fillies and mares which is pretty easy - back the French horse. In the absence of a French dispute the quality of Fillies and Mares and think you could clever and avoid picking one. Then pick the best older horse as 3 year olds in a good year are fetishised to too short odds. That's how I do it.
None of which really helps in the Matron.
Assumes middling ground.
Alanza btn/behind by Emulous and Maybe. Arguably best ever last time chasing Strong Suit and ignoring runaway leader. 10/1 Arguments for.
Ballybacka Lady another one beaten by Emulous and without any obvious reasons to come from that. Close up to Duntle two starts back 20/1 Chance not obvious
Chachamaidee Been in good form and but for last race which reads as muddling from the book might be shorter 7/1 consistent
Emulous pretty solid till last run. 2 months off and back here as favourite. last year's good winner from a subsequent Group 1 winner (Together in US at Keeneland). 11/4 probably worthy Fav
Marvada generally been close to a few of these but well beaten by others 50/1
After [thought] been hammered in sprints now tries a mile. 33/1 Good luck.
Duntle beloved of Nick Mordin and winner of 3 of last 4. Only loss this year 1st group race she tried to a non inspiring type. 4/1 seems a tad short for me given others have some Group 1 and 2 form.
Ishvana steadily progressive including a large field group 3 at Ascot just nothing that screams she will step further 14/1 One that nags at me without quite pulling the bet trigger.
La Collina lovely 2 year old form beating Power and enhancing Maybe's reputation 25/1 if you still believe
Maybe [Not] returns to a Mile having tried everything else. Fared better than Alanza behind Giofra (french filly!) 13/2 for true believers
Which leaves Laugh Out Loud which bizarrely I am tipping at a sporting 10s. Yes she's 3. Yes she's coming off a shocker. I just think she's the best form this year when beating Mashoora. She won in France in one of those short straight races albeit handed an easy lead or doing a Buick as the French now call what they used to call doing a Dettori. She gets Murtagh which is a handy replacement for Buick. Like Emulous you have to ignore last time but at 10/1 I'm happy to be wrong 9 times in 10.
If any of this lot comes for the Sun Chariot I suspect the winner will be none of these and the likely French or Elusive Kate, the 3 year old you can believe in.
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