Skip to main content

Haydock meeting preview

Not long left for the jumps season in the UK but there's a decent card at Haydock tomorrow. It's BetVictor day, so it's only fair I give them a plug in the form of regular contributor Jack Milner, @jjmsports, one of their content guys. And you can read plenty of his work on his blog.

--------------

Haydock hold a fantastic National Hunt card on Saturday, with the twilight phase of this sphere still producing quality cards, with BetVictor Day proving to be a treat.

Handy Andy will be a warm favourite in the first, a three and a half mile handicap chase, not for the faint hearted, but he is vulnerable up 10lb for his win over Chartreaux last time out. Monsieur Cadou and Captain Americo are lightly raced sorts that can improve but the form selection looks to be Rhum for the in form team of Nigel and Sam Twiston-Davies. The eight year old was back to his best last time out, winning cosily at Wincanton over an extended three miles, and looked better the further he went. He is up only 3lb, despite good form in behind through Big Occasion and Alderluck, and with the stable flying, he looks a confident pick.

The two and a half mile handicap hurdle is a very strong renewal, with a bumper field of twenty runners competing. Veloce could be a player for leading connections if he has his act together, but looks fairly temperamental, as does Landscape of Paul Nicholls. Brian Ellison has five, David O’ Meara has two, but the one stand out entry is Leader of the Gang for AP McCoy and David Pipe, who was a narrowly beaten favourite last time out at Sandown. He is still extremely unexposed, only ever having run in five hurdle races, and his mark of 121 still looks fairly lenient. It’s not flashy given he is likely to be a short price, but he is the clearly well handicapped pick. Any money for a Brian Ellison runner has to be taken very seriously indeed.

The feature race is a class 2 two and a half mile handicap chase, where Pepite Rose of Venetia Williams has been well backed in the week, and the mare should be a leading player if turning up on her best form. Cloudy Too and Shoegazer look harshly treated at the weights, and it could be those at the bottom of the handicap who can take advantage. One such horse could be Triptico for Evan Williams and Paul Moloney, and the unexposed seven year old could prove something of a shock. He was a good second last time out, given not the best ride by claimer Adam Wedge, staying on late, when the bird has seemingly flown. His previous best effort was over the same trip, when routing a field at Chepstow in December, and there have been plenty of winners in behind. He has only had four runs over fences, and is entitled to improve. Brunswick Gold would be another fancy at a price, being too big at around the 14/1 mark.

Another potentially trappy handicap chase in the 3.50, with sixteen runners going over two and three quarter miles, and Ballinroab is expected to make the market for Jonjo O’ Niell and AP McCoy. The form of his last win has worked out well, but a stiff 10lb rise could hinder him, although further improvement would be no surprise. The two top weights make most appeal, both winning last time out over similar trips. Frontier Spirit defied top weight over the same trip at Newbury last week, and only up 5lb, the stable form is something to make note of, and he is fancied. As is Rouge Et Blanc for Oliver Sherwood and talented claimer Thomas Garner, who takes off a valuable 7lb. Wins at Huntingdon have seen him up 23lb in the handicap, and that may scupper his bid of the hatrick.

Another difficult handicap, and although Moscow Presents could be a very unexposed animal for the McCain team, the way Tornado In Milan won last time out after being absolutely smashed up suggests he is extremely well handicapped for Evan Williams and Paul Moloney. His win at Plumpton sees him raised 8lb for a 5 lengths win, he has form tied in with Home Run, Mr Mole and other 130 rated handicappers, and looks absolutely chucked in. The step up in trip should suit on pedigree, and the ground will pose no problems. I’ve followed Big Society off a cliff in recent runs, so him hacking up would really hurt.

14.05 Haydock – Rhum

14.40 Haydock – Leader of the Gang

15.15 Haydock – Triptico

15.50 Haydock – Frontier Spirit

16.25 Haydock – Tornado in Milan (Nap)

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

The Melbourne Cup preview 2019

We're back again for the greatest race on turf, the world's richest staying race and the only race in the world which creates a public holiday for millions of locals.




Once again a fine international field has been assembled and it's worth a deep look at the race. So get a cuppa and find a comfortable seat to plough your way through my preview!

--------------------------------

The Lexus Melbourne Cup
Group 1, Handicap, 3200m
AUD 7,750,000
Flemington 1500 local, 0400 GMT
Broadcasters - Network 10 (AUS), Racing.com (worldwide), SkySportsRacing (UK)


1. Cross Counter
Trainer - Charlie Appleby (one previous Cup win)
Jockey - William Buick
Breeding - Teofilo - Waitress
Drawn 5, Weight 57.5kg

Last year's impressive winner who doesn't get the 3yo weight advantage this time. Won first up at Meydan in March but has run fourth, third, fourth in the big set weights staying races in England and Ireland, never quite making it as the next big staying star. While running close behind Stradivar…

Westow Stakes - York 16/5/19

The sun was out for a glorious opening day of the meeting, and races down the straight appeared to have no concerns about draw bias. Thursday's card has a few higher profile races but this 3yo sprint is worth watching closely, tomorrow and for future form.



British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes
£50k, Listed & Class 1, 3yo, 5f
York 1605

Soldier's Call - flying machine, winning four of six starts in Britain last season, running third in the Prix L'Abbaye, beaten a neck at WFA then finished sixth as joint favourite in the BC Juvenile Turf Sprint. Has plenty on these on ratings, but life's rarely that simple with unexposed 3yos early in the season.

Broken Spear - more exposed than most of these and well beaten by Garrus first up. Missed Chester last week, probably due to the rain (or a poor draw). Pass.

Charming Kid - won at this meeting last season but has been a little erratic ever since. Well beaten on AW Championships Day, appears to be a few lengths off these.

Garrus -…