Skip to main content

The Punter's Guide to the 2013 NRL Season

With news in the past week that Premier Sports TV have signed a five-year contract to broadcast all Australian rugby league in the UK (every NRL match of every round with at least six live games per week, State of Origin, Test matches, finals series, archive footage, plus a block on all streaming via betting sites), it's good news for Northern Hemisphere rugby league fans if you are prepared to subscribe to the extra channel. A shame it's not in HD in the UK though, but perhaps a deal like this gives them the leverage to do it in the near future. Then again, given the broadcast latency on Premier, we don't any more time added before they upgrade their signal. Australia has full coverage across Fox Sports and the Nine Network, but are restricted by that stupid betting in-play online restriction, and probably the same deal as previous years, delayed coverage on Friday night games.

With wall-to-wall coverage these days and a plethora of betting options available, it makes perfect sense that someone has done the hard yards looking at betting trends in the NRL and assessing this year's squads. A old colleague of mine from PuntingAce, Nick Tedeschi has put together the ultimate guide:



The official spiel:

With all the latest information, including each team’s strongest line-up, a recruitment assessment, position ratings, coaching history, draw analysis and, most importantly, end of season predictions, The Punter’s Guide to the 2013 NRL Season has every part of the game covered—from a punter’s point of view. This is the ideal book if you want to take out first prize in the office tipping competition and win on the punt.

To buy the book, visit the Slattery Media website. Be warned though, postage prices from Australia are ridiculous (free within Aus)- the book costs $14.95, postage is a further $36!! Mind you, that's not a massive ask if you're staking $20.

There is an alternative though for expat/foreign punters. The book is available on iTunes for use on iPads, iPhones etc via the iBooks application. I was hesitant about reading a chunky book on the iPhone, but it comes up pretty well.



I can't give you a review of the book just yet, I'm less than halfway through it, but I'm impressed with the way it is written and the level of detail covered. To read more of Nick's work, look for his byline on makingthenut.com

Oh, and by the way, if Aussie Rules is more your thing, there's an AFL version out there too:
- iTunes link.
- buy the book

*DISCLAIMER*
I am making no money out of this post, I even paid for my copy, but Nick will owe me a beer or two next time I see him...

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

Racing has a Ponzi scheme - and the fallout will be enormous

When the term 'Ponzi scheme' is mentioned these days, the names Bernard Madoff and Allen Stanford instantly spring to mind. The pair of them ran multi-billion dollar frauds (US$60bn and $8bn respectively) that destroyed the lives of thousands of investors who had put their life savings into a 'wonderful' investment strategy. How so many people were sucked into the scheme is baffling to those on the outside. The lifestyle, the sales pitch, the success stories of the early investors - I suppose it all adds up.

So where does this link to racing you ask? A prominent Australian 'racing identity' this week has been reported to have lost access to a bank account with punters' club funds of $194m in it. Firstly - is there a worse term for anyone to be labelled with that 'racing identity'? It ALWAYS ends up meaning shonky crook! Secondly - who the hell has a punters' club with an active bankroll in the tens of millions? It simply can't be done.

The…

damage control when trading goals

When trades go bad, some people will say cut your losses immediately, others will recommend having a bit of patience as events tend to level out (i.e. games with two goals in the first 10 mins never end up with 18 goals in 90 minutes). This is something I like to do on certain matches.

Background:
1. You've backed Under 2.5 goals, trying to nick a few ticks at a time as the clock ticks.
2. You've been caught out by a goal.
3. The market has gone sharply against you.

On this particular match from a couple of weeks ago, there was an early goal (sixth minute) before I got involved. The period immediately after an early goal regularly shows a sharp drop in the Under price, so I was trying to capitalise on that. But Watford then scored again after 14 minutes. The Back price I took (3.95) was now out to 12 - I could close out for a big loss (not my style) or wait and wait for the price to come back to somewhere I could close out for minimal damage. But at 2-0 after 15 minutes, it w…