Time for me to step in again for one of the bigger juvenile races. Nice race this, quite a few with a decent chance.
------------------
Norfolk Stakes
Ambiance - last start win at Ripon didn't look overly special, I doubt we'll be seeing too many of those rivals in championship races in the future. The one thing that I am wary of though is he started at 3/1 on debut behind Championship, a well-regarded Hannon colt, who was right in the market in the Coventry, and there were several others from decent stables in that field. Thus he must have been showing a bit on the gallops at some stage. He's been seen in public twice, around 50 on Betfair, prepared to risk him.
Coach House - odds-on at all three starts, won a Listed race at The Curragh last time beating Club Wexford who ran third behind Stubbs and Sacha Park the start after, both of whom failed to trouble the bookies on Tuesday. Win was OK but wasn't bolting clear, did it on a good-to-firm track. Where does he rank amongst the Ballydoyle juvenile crop who also owned first and third in the Coventry? Wouldn't be diving in at the 3/1 on Betfair.
Coulsty - bolted in at Leicester on debut in quick time, lengthening stride nicely when Moore pulled the whip. The runner-up franked that form by winning nicely at Lingfield on the weekend and fourth has also broken his maiden since. Looked professional, strong chance.
Eccleston - won very easily on debut at Doncaster a month ago, was held up behind runners, needed to squeeze through on the rail and then coasted home, could have won by panels. Second and third have since won, but Tableforten (second) also ran 17th in the Windsor Castle on Tuesday. Stable produced a nice one in Parbold in the Coventry, this bloke can't be far behind.
Emirates Flyer - won on debut at Bath which seems like Godolphin don't have a high opinion of him. Form behind him looks ordinary, would need a massive step up to trouble these.
Extreme Supreme - home-bred colt whose best asset might be the outside rail if the rain comes and it chops up. Trainer has one 2yo win from 119 runs in past five years. No chance.
Green Door - not just a Shakin' Stevens song but a decent chance at a nice price here. Debuted in a smart maiden at Newbury behind Justice Day and Steventon Star then won impressively at Newmarket. Trainer Olly Stevens is running hot with a Royal Ascot winner in his first season and the backing of Qatar Racing.
Ifwecan - fourth behind Thunder Strike at Epsom, with that colt just missing a place in the Coventry. Like many of the Exceed and Excel breed, he has already shown form down the straight with an easy win here a month ago. Up in class but a place chance at odds.
Legend Rising - picking off easy targets to win his last two starts. Formline through Piazon suggests he may be a few lengths inferior to Green Door unless plenty kept up his sleeve.
No Nay Never - US colt reputed to be the best of the visiting Wesley Ward juveniles. After that stable racked up a placing in the Queen Mary today, that makes this one a live chance. Will he beat the rain though? Any dirt-bred horse is a query on rain-affected turf. Market hasn't missed him, trading around 5/1 already.
Oriental Relation - at only start, was third behind Andhesontherun who has form through Rizeena and was beaten about four lengths in the Windsor Forest. Will come on for that, not the worst 250 shot you've seen on Betfair!
Royal Mezyan - beaten a couple of lengths behind Ifwecan on debut then a little closer behind Reroute (fifth in the Queen Mary), conceding 5lbs. Thought that was a pretty decent run, but stable jockey Liam Jones sticks with Saayyer. Looks overs at the price.
Saayyer - unbeaten colt, but struggled to get past Lilbourne Lass last start who's not up to these. Would rather be on the stablemate at the odds.
Wind Fire - in same ownership as Green Door and beaten 4l by him on debut. Improvement shown last start but needs to step up further again to win this.
VERDICT
Can't have the favourite here but they have racked up a few winners this week already. Eccleston could be something special and a couple of big-priced options for the exotics.
In order:
Eccleston
Green Door
Royal Mezyan
Coulsty
Oriental Relation
No Nay Never
------------------
Norfolk Stakes
Ambiance - last start win at Ripon didn't look overly special, I doubt we'll be seeing too many of those rivals in championship races in the future. The one thing that I am wary of though is he started at 3/1 on debut behind Championship, a well-regarded Hannon colt, who was right in the market in the Coventry, and there were several others from decent stables in that field. Thus he must have been showing a bit on the gallops at some stage. He's been seen in public twice, around 50 on Betfair, prepared to risk him.
Coach House - odds-on at all three starts, won a Listed race at The Curragh last time beating Club Wexford who ran third behind Stubbs and Sacha Park the start after, both of whom failed to trouble the bookies on Tuesday. Win was OK but wasn't bolting clear, did it on a good-to-firm track. Where does he rank amongst the Ballydoyle juvenile crop who also owned first and third in the Coventry? Wouldn't be diving in at the 3/1 on Betfair.
Coulsty - bolted in at Leicester on debut in quick time, lengthening stride nicely when Moore pulled the whip. The runner-up franked that form by winning nicely at Lingfield on the weekend and fourth has also broken his maiden since. Looked professional, strong chance.
Eccleston - won very easily on debut at Doncaster a month ago, was held up behind runners, needed to squeeze through on the rail and then coasted home, could have won by panels. Second and third have since won, but Tableforten (second) also ran 17th in the Windsor Castle on Tuesday. Stable produced a nice one in Parbold in the Coventry, this bloke can't be far behind.
Emirates Flyer - won on debut at Bath which seems like Godolphin don't have a high opinion of him. Form behind him looks ordinary, would need a massive step up to trouble these.
Extreme Supreme - home-bred colt whose best asset might be the outside rail if the rain comes and it chops up. Trainer has one 2yo win from 119 runs in past five years. No chance.
Green Door - not just a Shakin' Stevens song but a decent chance at a nice price here. Debuted in a smart maiden at Newbury behind Justice Day and Steventon Star then won impressively at Newmarket. Trainer Olly Stevens is running hot with a Royal Ascot winner in his first season and the backing of Qatar Racing.
Ifwecan - fourth behind Thunder Strike at Epsom, with that colt just missing a place in the Coventry. Like many of the Exceed and Excel breed, he has already shown form down the straight with an easy win here a month ago. Up in class but a place chance at odds.
Legend Rising - picking off easy targets to win his last two starts. Formline through Piazon suggests he may be a few lengths inferior to Green Door unless plenty kept up his sleeve.
No Nay Never - US colt reputed to be the best of the visiting Wesley Ward juveniles. After that stable racked up a placing in the Queen Mary today, that makes this one a live chance. Will he beat the rain though? Any dirt-bred horse is a query on rain-affected turf. Market hasn't missed him, trading around 5/1 already.
Oriental Relation - at only start, was third behind Andhesontherun who has form through Rizeena and was beaten about four lengths in the Windsor Forest. Will come on for that, not the worst 250 shot you've seen on Betfair!
Royal Mezyan - beaten a couple of lengths behind Ifwecan on debut then a little closer behind Reroute (fifth in the Queen Mary), conceding 5lbs. Thought that was a pretty decent run, but stable jockey Liam Jones sticks with Saayyer. Looks overs at the price.
Saayyer - unbeaten colt, but struggled to get past Lilbourne Lass last start who's not up to these. Would rather be on the stablemate at the odds.
Wind Fire - in same ownership as Green Door and beaten 4l by him on debut. Improvement shown last start but needs to step up further again to win this.
VERDICT
Can't have the favourite here but they have racked up a few winners this week already. Eccleston could be something special and a couple of big-priced options for the exotics.
In order:
Eccleston
Green Door
Royal Mezyan
Coulsty
Oriental Relation
No Nay Never
Comments
Post a Comment
Thanks for your comments, but if you're a spammer, you've just wasted your time - it won't get posted.