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Super League Grand Final

Rugby league has its domestic finales this weekend on both sides of the equator, and stepping up for the northern hemisphere is the Yorkshireman, Jack Milner. A frequent contributor to the blog, you can follow him on @jjmsports.

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Super League Grand Final

Old Trafford is all set to stage Super League’s Grand Final bringing a memorable season to a close and it looks set to be a cracker between local rivals Wigan and Warrington. Warrington arrive as marginal favourites seeking their first Grand Final win after a relatively smooth passage through the play-offs, comfortable home wins against Leeds and Huddersfield respectively. Wigan meanwhile are seeking an historic double after their Challenge Cup defeat of Hull at Wembley in August.

BetVictor make Warrington the 4/5 favourites, Wigan Evens, 16/1 the draw and it really is as close as the betting suggests, a lot will come down to Wigan born and bred Sam Tomkins; playing in his last game before leaving for New Zealand Warriors. Tomkins is undoubtedly the brightest star in our game and is 9/2 to end his tenure on a high, joint-favourite with Wolves’ Lee Briers to be named the man of the match and take home the coveted Harry Sunderland trophy.

Wigan winger Josh Charnley has crossed the whitewash a record breaking 41 times this season (32 in Super League) and is 8/11 to do so once more during the 80 minutes, 7/1 to score the first try and 14/1 to be named the man of the match. It looks sure to be a close one and could well be decided by the odd point, BetVictor offer 2/1 on a ‘one-pointer’ being scored in the eighty minutes and 1/3 for no drop goal.

Those looking at the game from a punting perspective should try and not be too clever; keep it simple. Warrington’s forwards will no doubt be hard to break down and it will be down to Wigan’s quick passing down the wing to break The Wolves down; Charnley looks banker material to get over the line anytime.

As does the one pointer; Briers is prone and then some, whilst Wigan have Richards, Ratchford and Tomkins all prone to the drop goal. At 2/1, I would personally be pricing it up at 6/4-11/8.

Expect the game to be a tight, cagey affair and from a value perspective I like the price on either team to start the game by taking the two points, if offered the opportunity. BetVictor price up 7/1 for the first scoring play to be a Warrington penalty, and similarly for a Wigan alternative. They make plenty of appeal coupled.

Recommendations

5pt - Josh Charnley Anytime Tryscorer @ 8/11 (Ladbrokes) (19/20 SpreadEx)
2pt - Drop Goal to be Scored - Yes @ 2/1 (BV and general)
1pt - First Scoring Play Wigan Penalty @ 10/1 (Ladbrokes)
1pt - First Scoring Play Warrington Penalty @ 9/1 (general)

Comments

  1. Should be a great match. I'll be cheering on Wigan.

    ReplyDelete

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