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Blue Diamond Historical Analysis

A tremendous weekend of racing ahead, spread around the globe, and headlined by the AUS$1m Group 1 Blue Diamond Stakes at Caulfield. I'll have a full preview of the race available tomorrow, but to provide some background on the race, here's some historical analysis from the experts at Premium Punting. You can read more of their work via @PremiumPunting.

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Blue Diamond Historical Analysis

In what looms as the most fascinating race of the Melbourne autumn carnival, the battle between top 2YOs Rubick and Earthquake will cause debate between racing fans.

Although our early opinion is not yet decided, below is some historical analysis which could help identify which winning patterns could be correlated to one of the two undefeated horses.

17/31 winners ran in the preludes the fortnight before
11/30 of these won their prelude races
22/30 winners won their previous start
14/23 winners started from barriers 1-5

Below is a table of the last 15 winners with some relevant statistics that can be analysed:



Some key points that can be brought out of this include:

10/15 were from the colts division
12/15 had a PB rating last start
As expected, majority of winners hadn’t had a run at 1200m beforehand
Average position in running (PIR) is around midfield

Visit the PremiumPunting website on Friday for their extensive analysis...

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Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Gimcrack Stakes
Group 2, 6f, 2yo C&G
£220,000
1510 local 0010 AEST


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Villiers StakesRandwick, G2, 1600m
1615 local time, 0515 GMT

Form link

Website
Twitter: @weekndkngracing
Facebook: /weekendking


The most reliable guide to the Gr2 Villiers has always been the Festival Stakes.

I’m going to stick with that form line; here’s the horses who ran in the Festival, running today.

1 I'm Imposing (55.5) 20-1
2 [0.1] Estonian Princess (54) 7-1
3 [0.3] Strawberry Boy (57.5) 6-1
5 [1.7] Sir Moments (56) 11-2
6 [2.5] Multilateral (54) 60-1
7 [3.8] Scream Machine (56) 20-1
8 [4.3] Aomen (58.5) 30-1
11 [6.8] Monton (60) 16-1
12 [8.0] Keep Cool (54) 80-1

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