Skip to main content

Red Rum Handicap Chase preview

It wouldn't be the Aintree Grand National Festival without a race in honour of Red Rum. Kieran Kenneally, @kierankenneally runs through the card.

------------------

Red Rum Handicap Chase

Whenever I look at races at Aintree the first thing I look for is a fresh horse or one that might have been laid out for a race. In the Silver Cross Red Rum Handicap Arnaud ticks all the boxes!

Arnaud hasn't raced for 68 days and this exuberant jumper brings excellent form into the race. Second to Valdez last time out, the winner that day has since gone on to run an excellent close up 5th in the Arkle at Cheltenham to give the form a mighty boost. Arnaud has also beaten Rebel Fitz over fences and that horse has won six races since that defeat including a Grade 3 Chase. Those two pieces of form give Arnaud an outstanding chance back in handicap company and this young chaser still has plenty of improvement left in him.

Claret Cloak was a good third in the Grand Annual and along with Sound Investment they have some Class 3 wins to their name. Linking their form through horses like Next Sensation, Grandouet and Valdez suggests to me they may have a bit to find on the selection.

Oiseau de Nuit may pose a bigger danger. The winner of this race last year has some excellent form this term behind Sire de Grugy. He would have a fair chance if running to his best form but his age and his falling at Cheltenham slightly put me off.

Off The Ground doesn't strike me as a horse who will appreciate a drop in trip.

Dare Me, Anquetta and Changing The Guard are all held by Claret Cloak on Cheltenham running.

Of the horses behind Claret Cloak that day, Astracad is a bit interesting. If you look back far enough this horse has some interesting form and he has a habit of beating Oiseau de Nuit most times they meet.

Kings Grey seems fully exposed and is held by Off The Ground.

Anay Turge is interesting back over fences but may struggle at the weights.

Turn Over Sivola has never won a chase but keeps going up in the weights. On a line through Next Sensation he's not good enough.

Parsnip Pete is well held by Astracad.

Gus Macrae has been out of form for a while.

Last Shot looks out of his class and is not the choice of the stable jockey.

There is one piece of form behind Far West that makes Bullet Street interesting to me and this young horse may be worth a bit of each way interest off a low weight.

Selections:

1. Arnaud 6/1
2. Astracad 16/1
3. Bullet Street 25/1

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Kentucky Derby preview

It's America's big day of racing, where 90% of them will be there to be seen and most won't have a clue what difference Churchill Downs Inc's latest takeout hike does to shaft them on every bet placed. Throw in the standard arguments about race-day medication in the US and the recent New York Times/PETA expose on yesterday's Oaks-winning trainer Steve Asmussen, and racing in North America could be in better health.

Still, it's one of the elite races and great occasions of the world, and stepping up to the plate is Jon da Silva again, @creamontop, with his preview in a very American style. (No I don't understand Brisnet figures either...)

------------------------------

The Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum Brands

They say you should avoid food additive E-numbers which you can’t with Yum Brands…

Yum! Brands, Inc. or Yum! is a United States-based Fortune 500 corporation. Yum! operates or licenses Taco Bell, KFC, Pizza Hut, and WingStreet restaurants worldwid…

Henry VIII Novices’ Chase

It's not just about the Tingle Creek tomorrow at Sandown, there's a Grade 1 Novice Chase amongst the rather decent supporting card. Lining up for the preview is astute NH enthusiast Sam Tribe, @samtribe87.

---------------------

Racing Post Henry VIII Novices’ Chase
Grade 1 Chase, 2 Miles
Sandown 13:50
Likely going Soft, Good to Soft in places


With doubts concerning the fitness of last year’s Queen Mother Chase winner Sire De Grugy and of the two mile chase king Sprinter Sacre (despite bullish remarks from Henderson) there is a chance for another to step into the limelight. Both have won the feature race of the day, The Tingle Creek Chase and that will more than likely throw a few into the hat. However, I have chosen to take a look at the Henry VIII chase, which was changed to a grade 1 in 2011 and has been won by some nice prospects in the past (Somersby and Al Ferof to name but a few). Let’s hope that a potential Champion Chase contender of the future will feature in this …

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...