Skip to main content

Red Rum Handicap Chase preview

It wouldn't be the Aintree Grand National Festival without a race in honour of Red Rum. Kieran Kenneally, @kierankenneally runs through the card.

------------------

Red Rum Handicap Chase

Whenever I look at races at Aintree the first thing I look for is a fresh horse or one that might have been laid out for a race. In the Silver Cross Red Rum Handicap Arnaud ticks all the boxes!

Arnaud hasn't raced for 68 days and this exuberant jumper brings excellent form into the race. Second to Valdez last time out, the winner that day has since gone on to run an excellent close up 5th in the Arkle at Cheltenham to give the form a mighty boost. Arnaud has also beaten Rebel Fitz over fences and that horse has won six races since that defeat including a Grade 3 Chase. Those two pieces of form give Arnaud an outstanding chance back in handicap company and this young chaser still has plenty of improvement left in him.

Claret Cloak was a good third in the Grand Annual and along with Sound Investment they have some Class 3 wins to their name. Linking their form through horses like Next Sensation, Grandouet and Valdez suggests to me they may have a bit to find on the selection.

Oiseau de Nuit may pose a bigger danger. The winner of this race last year has some excellent form this term behind Sire de Grugy. He would have a fair chance if running to his best form but his age and his falling at Cheltenham slightly put me off.

Off The Ground doesn't strike me as a horse who will appreciate a drop in trip.

Dare Me, Anquetta and Changing The Guard are all held by Claret Cloak on Cheltenham running.

Of the horses behind Claret Cloak that day, Astracad is a bit interesting. If you look back far enough this horse has some interesting form and he has a habit of beating Oiseau de Nuit most times they meet.

Kings Grey seems fully exposed and is held by Off The Ground.

Anay Turge is interesting back over fences but may struggle at the weights.

Turn Over Sivola has never won a chase but keeps going up in the weights. On a line through Next Sensation he's not good enough.

Parsnip Pete is well held by Astracad.

Gus Macrae has been out of form for a while.

Last Shot looks out of his class and is not the choice of the stable jockey.

There is one piece of form behind Far West that makes Bullet Street interesting to me and this young horse may be worth a bit of each way interest off a low weight.

Selections:

1. Arnaud 6/1
2. Astracad 16/1
3. Bullet Street 25/1

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

Gimcrack Stakes preview

The final day of the Ebor Festival has a great spread of races, and just one of them could be described as having a clear-cut favourite. A solid reward for anyone who can find a winner.

The 2yo feature of the day is the Gimcrack Stakes, and saddling up again for the preview is Darren Goodbody, @DarrenPGoodbody. You can read more of his work here.

----------------------

Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Gimcrack Stakes
Group 2, 6f, 2yo C&G
£220,000
1510 local 0010 AEST


What a week it has been on the Knavesmire, some impressive juveniles to keep on the note book especially Tasleet of William Haggas's and Wesley Ward's Acapulco who impressed me taking on older horses, but even though with the 29lb allowance he could not over come proven Group 3 winning sprinter Mecca's Angel.

Mark Johnston has not improved on his six percent average here at York and I have reservations that it is going to improve with Buratino or Ode the Evening. The Listed Woodcote Stakes and Group 3 Coven…

Villiers Stakes preview

The highlight of summer racing in Sydney is the Villiers Stakes. Tasked with the preview is Mitch Fenton.

-------------------

Villiers StakesRandwick, G2, 1600m
1615 local time, 0515 GMT

Form link

Website
Twitter: @weekndkngracing
Facebook: /weekendking


The most reliable guide to the Gr2 Villiers has always been the Festival Stakes.

I’m going to stick with that form line; here’s the horses who ran in the Festival, running today.

1 I'm Imposing (55.5) 20-1
2 [0.1] Estonian Princess (54) 7-1
3 [0.3] Strawberry Boy (57.5) 6-1
5 [1.7] Sir Moments (56) 11-2
6 [2.5] Multilateral (54) 60-1
7 [3.8] Scream Machine (56) 20-1
8 [4.3] Aomen (58.5) 30-1
11 [6.8] Monton (60) 16-1
12 [8.0] Keep Cool (54) 80-1

Out of all those runs in the Festival, Strawberry Boy was a clear top pick for mine.

He worked very hard out in front with his 1500m to 600m times and was 3L quicker than the average. He was entitled to drop out of the race but instead he fought on dogged…