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Epsom Handicap preview

The short, sharp Epsom preview from the sharp blokes at Premium Punting, @premiumpunting. Find out more about their work on their site.

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Epsom Handicap
Group 1, 1600m Handicap
Randwick 4.00pm local time (0700 London)


Speed galore!

Pace looks to be very quickly run and it is a grave concern for some horses. Laser Hawk is going to have to burn early petrol tickets to cross and dictate as Ninth Legion with his light weight will pounce right on the speed – they can move to the fence together. Unless Gai instructs Thomas Huet to aggressively ride Pheidon from the inside alley but he would be silly to lead as he cannot hold on.

The pace is going to be very fast and that plays in to the hands of some.



ROYAL DESCENT
With even luck, she is the horse that they all have to beat. She has run 3 2nds this campaign and, as Waller typically ensures, she has increased her performance weight rating by 1 length each start and presents here at her very best. Interestingly, he has kept her to 1600m. She was softly ridden last start along the fence and was fairly beaten by Sacred Falls but beat Laser Hawk & Toydini who came from behind her. Horses drawn around her are naturally quicker which is perfect as they will pave a way for her to trail them and then park a few lengths off, ready to join in at the turn. Her powerful finish can be too much.

LASER HAWK
Contrary to the hot speed, Laser Hawk is one who must be favoured out of the front runners. He rated very high losing to Sacred Falls and Royal Descent last start leading them but his weight is reduced 5.5KGs off that and he was unlikely to be at his prime only 3rd up off a 490d break from racing. He excels on good ground and his low weight may be enough to counteract his quick early pace.

STAR ROLLING
His best is well up to winning this and with the pace ratio playing to his advantage he is ready to produce that, 4th up back from his spell. Hopefully the horses with good early speed drawn outside of him simply cross and he is forced to patiently wait 4-5L off them waiting for a run. He battled on only evenly with 59KGs in the Underwood Stakes a fortnight ago, but was by no means disgraced and with 53KGs here he is going to wear down those who tire.

As always, our markets are set to 100% with every runner rated >$20 eliminated. Premium Racing Services clients get a market <100% to gain a wagering edge and to help find the stronger overlays to be wagered upon.



Recommended Bets
Back Royal Descent, Laser Hawk and Star Rolling to win.

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