Skip to main content

Suffolk Stakes preview

The British Flat season is truly underway when we get to Guineas weekend at Newmarket, and setting the scene to preview the opening race is regular contributor Chris Day, @chrisday100.

----------------------

Suffolk Stakes
Newmarket 1400 BST
1m1f Class 2


We’re about to enter an exciting period on the flat in terms of Classic action but it’s the handicaps which really get these juices flowing at this time of year and Newmarket stage a superb curtain raiser to Guineas Day in the shape of The Suffolk Stakes, a rattling good 9 furlong contest from which you can bet pattern performers will emerge possibly sooner rather than later.

Topping the weights is dual Cambridgeshire hero, Bronze Angel, whose form over course and distance bears the closest inspection. If his Spring Cup run has blown away the cobwebs he’s a danger to all from a perch just 4lbs higher than when running away with last year’s Autumn highlight from Niceofyoutotellme.

Another Cambridgeshire winner, Educate, is next in and also has a chance at these weights. Best delivered late off a fast pace, he’s got the right man in the saddle and has had a couple of spins to get his mark down for this.

As a huge Paul Nicholls fan, I note with interest his booking of Frankie Dettori, breeder of Dodging Bullets for Graham Roche’s Irish acquisition, All To Go, who ran in a number of decent three year old contest last summer and ran fourth in a Kempton novice hurdle in October. It wouldn’t surprise me at all to see him go well.

Balty Boys, Spirit Of The Law, Rebellious Guest and Ruban all arrive in decent nick but all need to improve and I’d be surprised if something wasn’t lurking in here to prove better handicapped.

Halation, a good fourth behind Chatez in Doncaster’s Spring Mile, could be one and should appreciate the step up in trip here with a hood on for the first time.

Knight Owl is a horse I expect to win races from his mark and Persona Grata races for owners who know the time of day and will surely be adding to his already not inconsiderable haul of victories.

If, however you had told me that Top Tug would be starting this season off 94 after he dug very deep to beat Cloudscape at the course in May of last year, I’d have laughed at you but he’s obviously had his problems and has to prove himself but is a horse I believe will prove pattern class this season. There was a time when the Bajan Lord’s older handicappers could be backed blind at this time of year and, while this may no longer be the case, I strongly fancy Ryan Moore to have him just off the pace and kick on at the bushes to take this contest nicely.

Persona Grata and All Set To Go could be value for forecast and tricast backers.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur

What shits me about match-fixing 'journalism'.

The anti-wagering media bandwagon has dozens of new members this week, all weighing in an industry they have absolutely no idea about. I'm all for getting the betting industry into the mainstream but it shits me no end when they roll out reports and celebrities who simply don't have a clue what they are talking about and don't bother to check basic facts which key arguments in their story. If this was the financial industry, making errors like this would have them in all sorts of trouble, but the same level of regulation doesn't apply because finance stock markets are supposedly all legitimate and serious, whereas sports betting is just a bit of fun for people who can never win in the long-term... according to the media. This week we have seen the sting by the Telegraph which, on the face of it, looks to be a tremendous piece of investigative work into fixing in English football. But the headlines around it are over-sensationalised yet again. Delroy Facey, a former pla

The Cup review

James McDonald feels the emotion of winning the Melbourne Cup on Verry Elleegant. (photo credit Darrian Traynor/Getty Images) With every man and his dog doing Cup previews these days, perhaps a postmortem of the race provides more value - at least for these more serious about the game or want something to refer back to in 363 days' time. It was great to see Flemington basking in the warm spring sun, with no threat of rain which buggers up the confidence you have in the state of the track, an integral part of betting on horses. The crowd was back, at least about 10% of the normal Cup day crowd, but 10,000 more than were allowed last year. Let us never have to deal with these restrictions again in our lifetimes. The TV coverage - well, um, ugh. On Derby Day, I was able to watch the racing.com stream in the UK while Sky Sports Racing kept to their normal NSW-controlled Sky Racing Aus coverage which denies that Victoria and South Australia exist. For Cup Day, they switched to the Chann