Skip to main content

AFL Round 17 Sunday preview

Completely overlooked this in my inbox on Thursday, so sorry, you've missed most of the games. But there are still three left for Sunday.

As always, content courtesy of @AFLRatings.

---------------------

AFL Round 17 Sunday games preview by AFLRatings.com.au via @AFLRatings

Western Bulldogs 9-6 v Collingwood 8-7

The Bulldogs appeared to be quite fatigued in a loss to Geelong last week, clearly it was one of their poorer games of the season with a distinct inability to create running opportunities though the middle of the ground. Collingwood were lit up by the Bulldogs in the pre-season with this game style and will be coached accordingly this week to defend against it. The Bulldogs have scored only 71.3pts FOR from their last 4 games & Collingwood are without their 2 leading goal scorers this season, this could provide a low scoring game at Etihad Stadium. The Magpies have lost 4 straight games whilst being highly competitive against quality teams, there is every chance it could be 5 straight losses.

Melbourne 5-10 v St Kilda 5-10

This could be painful, games involving the Demons this year are starting to be very difficult viewing. Not a game punters should be heavily invested in anyway as the turnovers will drive you nutty, if the Saints can get an early break in the game it might start to open the scoring otherwise expect a low scoring game at the MCG on Sunday afternoon. Melbourne has scored 60pts from each of its last 3 games whilst the Saints have been hit & miss scoring fewer than 80pts in 7 of 15 games this season. There is nothing tangible to throw at you for this game, toss of a coin and cross your fingers maybe even click your heels.

West Coast 12-3 v Sydney 11-4

The Eagles have finally changed opinion of many punters & bookies as they are very short favourites against Sydney in the last game of Round 17, West Coast are ranking highly in most categories that deliver success in the AFL and a win over Sydney this week locks in a Top 4 spot with genuine possibilities to finish Top 2 & a Home Final in week 1. The Eagles are again hit by injuries to their defence, this may provide an opportunity for Franklin to turn it on if the Swans can break through the middle of the ground quick enough to get him the ball. The Eagles have been great this year, but there are no guarantees against a Sydney team coming off an embarrassing loss last week.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

The Melbourne Cup preview 2019

We're back again for the greatest race on turf, the world's richest staying race and the only race in the world which creates a public holiday for millions of locals.




Once again a fine international field has been assembled and it's worth a deep look at the race. So get a cuppa and find a comfortable seat to plough your way through my preview!

--------------------------------

The Lexus Melbourne Cup
Group 1, Handicap, 3200m
AUD 7,750,000
Flemington 1500 local, 0400 GMT
Broadcasters - Network 10 (AUS), Racing.com (worldwide), SkySportsRacing (UK)


1. Cross Counter
Trainer - Charlie Appleby (one previous Cup win)
Jockey - William Buick
Breeding - Teofilo - Waitress
Drawn 5, Weight 57.5kg

Last year's impressive winner who doesn't get the 3yo weight advantage this time. Won first up at Meydan in March but has run fourth, third, fourth in the big set weights staying races in England and Ireland, never quite making it as the next big staying star. While running close behind Stradivar…

Westow Stakes - York 16/5/19

The sun was out for a glorious opening day of the meeting, and races down the straight appeared to have no concerns about draw bias. Thursday's card has a few higher profile races but this 3yo sprint is worth watching closely, tomorrow and for future form.



British Stallion Studs EBF Westow Stakes
£50k, Listed & Class 1, 3yo, 5f
York 1605

Soldier's Call - flying machine, winning four of six starts in Britain last season, running third in the Prix L'Abbaye, beaten a neck at WFA then finished sixth as joint favourite in the BC Juvenile Turf Sprint. Has plenty on these on ratings, but life's rarely that simple with unexposed 3yos early in the season.

Broken Spear - more exposed than most of these and well beaten by Garrus first up. Missed Chester last week, probably due to the rain (or a poor draw). Pass.

Charming Kid - won at this meeting last season but has been a little erratic ever since. Well beaten on AW Championships Day, appears to be a few lengths off these.

Garrus -…