Skip to main content

Lowther Stakes preview

The caravan rolls onto day two at York after the huge shock of Golden Horn being trumped by a 50/1 shot in the Juddmonte. It's another great card today, and kicking off the previews is Darren Goodbody, @DarrenPGoodbody with his take on the Lowther Stakes.

---------------------

Pinsent Masons Lowther Stakes
Group 2 for 2yo fillies
£160,000, 6f
1430 local, 2330 AEST


The juvenile fillies take center stage here in the Group 2 Lowther Stakes, over the years we have seen the likes of Tiggy Wiggy, Cape Verdi and Russian Rhythm land the prize in recent years. This year's renewal looks competitive enough with William Haggas already on the board on day one with a double with Recorder and Storm the Stars he saddles his daughter of Kodiac here in Besharah.

She has done nothing wrong this season winning three of her five encounters at Ascot and Windsor. Besharah looked more impressive when winning the Group 3 Princess Margaret Stakes at Ascot last time out when beating Richard Hannon's Great Page. The form got a respectable boost when the third Whatdoiwantthatfor when on to win at Newbury in the Listed St Hugh's Stakes. She has to be respected being by an in-form trainer who notched up winner 13 and 14 at the Knavesmire meeting.

I feel David Brown has an interesting contender in Continental Lady, she looks over priced at 20/1 after her debut win at Leicester on good to soft ground. She traveled well on the pace that day before picking it up a furlong out to record a two length win. She is by Medicean who was far better over eight furlongs in his career winning the Lockinge on soft ground, she would have a live chance from what looks a good draw.

Mark Johnston's record on the Knavesmire over the past five seasons reads only fourteen winners from 214 entries just a 6% return, his juveniles have seen him record seven winners form seventy eight entries just 9%, it looks a track he does not have much success on and his entry here Lumiere has been put in as the 6/4 favorite to land this Group 2. His sole run saw her winning on debut at Newmarket when winning her maiden by a very impressive six lengths. The maiden is not holding up to anything special with some of the field already beaten comfortably and feel she is far too short in the market for a competitive juvenile contest.

From the outright winner's angle I would like to side with Michael Dods' EASTON ANGEL who won on her debut on soft ground at Musselburgh. Since then she has won on good to firm at Beverley, and two excellent runs against two impressive winners in Acapulco and Illuminate. Her fourth in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes when behind Besharah was probably the most unlucky story to take out of the race. She found all sorts of trouble just before the furlong pole, when she got a true line and found the room she stayed on powerfully to go down by just two and a quarter lengths. Despite having two lengths to find with Besharah she is still improving with every run and now she has her ground and obviously luck in running in this smaller field she looks the one to beat under Paul Mulrennan.

From an each way angle, Continental Lady looks worthy of a punt at 20s, her debut was open to improvement and surely is well thought of now tackling pattern company sooner than later and deserves to take her chances here.

EASTON ANGEL : 2pt Win @ 9/2 BOG
Continental Lady : 1pt each way @ 20/1


Comments

Popular posts from this blog

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

Kentucky Derby preview

It's America's big day of racing, where 90% of them will be there to be seen and most won't have a clue what difference Churchill Downs Inc's latest takeout hike does to shaft them on every bet placed. Throw in the standard arguments about race-day medication in the US and the recent New York Times/PETA expose on yesterday's Oaks-winning trainer Steve Asmussen, and racing in North America could be in better health.

Still, it's one of the elite races and great occasions of the world, and stepping up to the plate is Jon da Silva again, @creamontop, with his preview in a very American style. (No I don't understand Brisnet figures either...)

------------------------------

The Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum Brands

They say you should avoid food additive E-numbers which you can’t with Yum Brands…

Yum! Brands, Inc. or Yum! is a United States-based Fortune 500 corporation. Yum! operates or licenses Taco Bell, KFC, Pizza Hut, and WingStreet restaurants worldwid…

Henry VIII Novices’ Chase

It's not just about the Tingle Creek tomorrow at Sandown, there's a Grade 1 Novice Chase amongst the rather decent supporting card. Lining up for the preview is astute NH enthusiast Sam Tribe, @samtribe87.

---------------------

Racing Post Henry VIII Novices’ Chase
Grade 1 Chase, 2 Miles
Sandown 13:50
Likely going Soft, Good to Soft in places


With doubts concerning the fitness of last year’s Queen Mother Chase winner Sire De Grugy and of the two mile chase king Sprinter Sacre (despite bullish remarks from Henderson) there is a chance for another to step into the limelight. Both have won the feature race of the day, The Tingle Creek Chase and that will more than likely throw a few into the hat. However, I have chosen to take a look at the Henry VIII chase, which was changed to a grade 1 in 2011 and has been won by some nice prospects in the past (Somersby and Al Ferof to name but a few). Let’s hope that a potential Champion Chase contender of the future will feature in this …