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Grosser Preis von Baden preview

As the European summer winds down, the championship races take over as we head towards the Arc. Today it's Germany's best race, the Grosser Preis von Baden, as previewed by international racecalling prodigy, Luke Humphreys, @WorldRacingLuke.

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Longines Grosser Preis Von Baden
Group 1, 2400m Turf
€250,000 WFA 3yo+
1650 local, 1550 BST, 0050 AEST

Odds are best available at time of writing

1 Ito (15/8) (Germany): Real top type that has drastically risen through the grades. Very easily won a LR contest in April and then brilliantly won a G2 at this track before a very game second to Second Step in the G1 Grosser Preis Von Berlin after leading everywhere bar the last 50 yards. That was his first try over 2400m so maybe he didn’t run it out as well as he could 2200m or 2000m but it was a top run and if he can just sit up a bit longer in front today, he should have a good kick when it matters. Filip Minarik, Jockey, Jean-Pierre Carvalho, Trainer, Gestüt Schlenderhan, Owner combined to win this last year with Ivanhowe. The one to beat.

2 Prince Gibraltar (5/2) (France): Certainly a “maybe” horse. Always looks “unlucky” but can never deliver. Fair 2nd to Manatee in the G2 Grand Prix de Chantilly in May but had every possible last time in the G2 York Stakes when he was 3rd only in the end. This is his best chance to get a big win if he’s ever gonna get one.

3 Sirius (12/1) (Germany): G1 winner last year in the Grosser Preis Von Berlin, late for fourth this time around. His other runs this season he was tailed off in the G2 Gerling-Preis but bounced back for a gallant second to Lovelyn in the G2 Grosser Hansa-Preis, third the year before to Protectionist and Singing. Should be running on for a place at best.

4 Spend The Cash (33/1) (Germany): Hard horse to find. Really good third to Ito in that 11f G2 at this track in June when running on strongly but has run last of eight in the LR Grand Prix de Compiegne and G3 Prix de Reux since. Not today.

5 Weltmacht (25/1) (Germany): 4YO filly who was fourth to Ito in that G2 here over 2200m and sixth to Lovelyn and Sirius in the G2 Grosser Hansa-Preis after leading them up. Winner of a sub-standard LR contest last time. No.

6 Goldstream (6/1) (Germany): Extremely dominant victor of the G2 Italian Derby and was subsequently was brought by Australian Thoroughbred Bloodstock to be targeted at the Cox Plate down under. He was only fourth to Highland Reel in the G1 Secretariat Stakes when in fairness he was a bit disappointing however maybe the Italian form didn’t hold up. His run today will determine whether he goes down under or not but he should bounce back with a good run.

7 Palace Prince (8/1) (Germany): LR winner at Compiegne three starts back, enquiry, and the form from that has held up well with the 2nd home Canndal running second to Force The Pass in the G1 Belmont Derby. He then ran second to Nutan in the G1 German Derby and won a G3 at Krefeld narrowly last time. Has nice form but others look better.

8 Nightflower (7/1) (Germany): Good 3YO filly who in her French runs has been put in her place in a way but her runs in Germany have been good winning the G3 German Oaks Trial comfortably and should’ve won the G1 German Oaks last time but had no luck in running and was a never nearer second to Turfdonna. Form is okay but place would be the most likeliest spot for her.

Fairly good renewal of this race which is traditionally the Arc Trial for German trained horses. (1) Ito has been a huge improver and after getting caught late by Second Step in the Grosser Preis Von Berlin last time, he can make amends today it what’s probably a slightly weaker race, still a very good race. (2) Prince Gibraltar is a “non-winner” in my eyes but if he’s ever gonna win a race, this is it in a G1. (6) Goldstream was a bit disappointing in the Secretariat Stakes but this is probably a bit easier. (8) Nightflower should be a Classic winner and comes into this with nice enough form. (3) Sirius is racing consistently and won’t run badly. (7) Palace Prince is the German Derby runner-up however (1) Ito smashed the German Derby winner, Nutan, in the Grosser Preis Von Berlin and Nutan smashed (7) Palace Prince in the Derby so I think he’ll get found out here. (4) Spend The Cash and (5) Weltmacht aren’t going good enough.

Selections
(1) Ito - (2) Prince Gibraltar - (6) Goldstream - (8) Nightflower - (3) Sirius - (7) Palace Prince - (4) Spend The Cash - (5) Weltmacht

The Bet
(1) Ito to win.

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