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Australian Guineas preview

The feature event at Flemington this weekend is the 3yo classic, the Australian Guineas. A different source for the preview this time, and providing a new angle on the analysis is Adrian Heilmann, @adrianheilmann, a well-travelled stablehand who used to look after the mighty Trending for us at the Jeremy Gask stable in the UK. Welcome aboard!

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Australian Guineas
Flemington, R7
Group 1, AU$750,000, 1600m
1630 local, 0530 GMT


Prized Icon- last year's VRC Derby winner who comes into this second up after a even run first up in the Hobartville. The step up to the mile and a good barrier helps his chances but for me he had more chance of staying in Sydney and winning the Randwick Guineas.

Divine Prophet- looked a bit plain first up in the Orr at Caulfield albeit against older horses at WFA. His Caulfield Guineas win tells us he has the class to win this and you can be assured being trained by the Hawkes team, he would have come on a lot from his run in the Orr. Drawn 10 here I envision him somewhere midfield with cover in the run and being presented late, with luck should be right in the finish.

Seaburge- is the horse who can improve a lot on his run in the CS Hayes Stks. There was money for him then suggesting the stable were happy with what he had been showing them at home, his form ties in with Hey Doc (fav) after splitting him and Divine Prophet in the Caulfield Guineas in the spring.

Hey Doc- was lucky enough to have a bit to do with this bloke when working at Kidalton Park last year. He's a gorgeous type that oozes quality, super impressive winning the CS Hayes Stks, showing a great turn of foot and putting the opposition away very quickly. Drawn ideally here in gate two where Luke Currie can place him where he wants and I can only see bad luck preventing him winning this. Clear top pick.

Morton's Fork- looks to come into this ready to peak third up after solid runs this time in, appears to be looking for the mile now. Sandown Guineas winner in the spring but a horror draw makes it tough, although has the services of C. Williams to overcome that. Guessing he will be snagged back and ridden near enough to last and ridden for luck.

Attention- IMO the danger to the favourite. Was very good in the Orr, beaten just on a length behind a serious WFA horse in Black Heart Bart. Looks to be the race the stable have set him for this time in and they are brilliant at getting them to peak on grand final day. Settles in the first four here and will take a lot of running down. Good each-way bet.

Oak Door- has had a excellent prep resulting in a tough win last time out in the Autumn Stks. Has been dealt a tough draw and I've always had my doubts about horses by Commands running out a strong mile.

So Si Bon- positives are a mile at Flemington and Oliver sticks with him, but for me he will find some of these too slick and classy.

Anaheim- nice Fastnet Rock colt who looks progressive. Listed winner here over the spring carnival, from a good stable and at the price you could do much worse then having a few dollars each way on this fellow and throwing him in your multiples.

Throssell- glue-on shoes on suggest issues with his feet so the pen goes straight through his name.

Inside Agent- his three runs at Flemington have all been good including a win and a second at Listed level. Was good behind Hey Doc in the CS Hayes Stks last start but drawn awkwardly here and needs to find a fair bit to turn the tables on Hey Doc.

Snitzon - $51 seems over the odds and he is the best roughie in the race. Class is a question mark but I don't think he got around Caulfield last start. Back to Flemington suits and draws a favourable gate.

Land Of Plenty - although having won just the one race, he has put up a couple of nice performances including a second in the Stutt Stks behind Hey Doc in the spring and a strong third to the same horse here in the CS Hayes. I'm sure will run well but I'm thinking a place chance only.

Harlow Gold- nice filly who comes into this second up off a nice third resuming here in the Vanity. Drawn to get a lovely run in transit, won't be easy taking on a few of these boys here so I'll be risking her.

Legless Veuve- good strong filly multiple Group winner draws a nice gate but suspect at the mile in my opinion.

Furhyk- love this filly; tough, genuine, knows how to find the line in great form. What else can you say? Big chance to topple the boys.

Theanswermyfriend- looks promising by a great sire, drawn OK but prefer in something easier.

Redouble- has shown ability on occasions from a great stable who you can never disregard but looks up against it here if gaining a start.

Hardham- outclassed.

SELECTIONS
Hey Doc
Fuhryk
Attention

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Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Gimcrack Stakes
Group 2, 6f, 2yo C&G
£220,000
1510 local 0010 AEST


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Villiers StakesRandwick, G2, 1600m
1615 local time, 0515 GMT

Form link

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Twitter: @weekndkngracing
Facebook: /weekendking


The most reliable guide to the Gr2 Villiers has always been the Festival Stakes.

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5 [1.7] Sir Moments (56) 11-2
6 [2.5] Multilateral (54) 60-1
7 [3.8] Scream Machine (56) 20-1
8 [4.3] Aomen (58.5) 30-1
11 [6.8] Monton (60) 16-1
12 [8.0] Keep Cool (54) 80-1

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