Skip to main content

Beverley Wed Apr 19 2yo Novice Auction Stks Div II review

Beverley 1450 Novice Auction Stakes Div II
5f, Class 5, 1m4.21s
(slow by 3.21s)
Good to Firm

Bengali Boys - Mar 28 foal, €11k yearling, became third winner from three foals to race for dam. drew wide, away well to sit midfield with cover in the three-wide line, a nice trail on a one-bend trip. Made his move just over a furlong out, was pushed into the middle of the track as the leader drifted left slightly but came away towards the line to record a nice win.

Wahoo - Feb 18 foal, 18k gns yearling. Seventh foal of mare, career-best earnings of £7500 from all of them. Not encouraging. Wore noseroll. Started OK, urged along to take prominent position just behind the lead. A little green racing close to several horses. Got clear with a furlong to go, a few strides later than the winner and that might have cost him the race. Worked home OK to claim second. Still looked a little green, will be better for the run.

Starlight Mystery - Feb 13 foal, 14k gns yearling. jumped well, sat 3wide no cover on the pace. Looks quite big for a 2yo, at least relative to these rivals and a little immature. Took control a furlong out as other leaders faded but soon reeled in by the winner. Top quality stable, half-siblings have both won, by quality sire. Nice run, will improve from this.

Hot Rock - Apr 27 foal, £14.5k yearling. Dwelt slightly, outpaced and settled at rear of main pack, running greenly and wanting to over-race. Called on at the 2f to make a run, found more when saw clear space in the middle of the track and made some ground. Nice enough run for a late foal, will learn from that.

Poet's Dawn - Feb 7, 4k gns yearling, dam unraced but related to several black type winners. Outpaced at start, urged to stay in touch, settled in the pack. Caught behind tiring leaders at the furlong, kept on well after getting around them. Reasonable run.

Asheena - Mar 13, half-sibling to five winners. From first crop for Lethal Force. Vendor buyback as yearling for 3500gns. Jumped well, straight to the contested lead in the middle of line of three. Already urged along coming off the bed at halfway, left behind at the furlong and plodded home.

Abu Dhabi Doo - Feb 25, £6k yearling (passed in for 5500gns as foal). Speedily away, straight to the rail contesting the pace. Rider looked to have more up his sleeve at the 2f when asked to go but just plodded home several lengths behind the winner.

Placebo Effect - Feb 22, £3k yearling from maiden mare who peaked at OR62. Sat wide midfield, bumped around a little but didn't find much in the straight.

Watching Spirits - Feb 24, £14k yearling, fifth foal of mare has thrown just one winner to date. Trainer currently ice cold, one winner from 32 runners this year. Jumped well, sat behind Abu Dhabi Doo on the rail. Wanted to overrace early, outpaced at the 2f. Wobbled around in the middle of the track late, but never any chance.

Dark Hedges - Feb 17, £6500 yearling. Dam has thrown three multiple winners and four donkeys. Settled back and wide, never got into the race.

Bahuta Acha - May 08, vendor buyback as yearling for £3500. Related to some very ordinary types, dam won four races, all on AW. Wore nose roll. Always well back after missing the start by several lengths and although tacked onto the field on the bend, never got into the race.

Glen Valley - terrible yet again. Small filly, over-races, sat midfield and steadily went backward from the 2f, beaten a long way.

Reel Mr Bond - withdrawn at gates after refusing to enter stalls.

KEY POINTS
Front three decent, not sure about the rest. Figures say this was the weakest 2yo race of the season so far.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

Racing has a Ponzi scheme - and the fallout will be enormous

When the term 'Ponzi scheme' is mentioned these days, the names Bernard Madoff and Allen Stanford instantly spring to mind. The pair of them ran multi-billion dollar frauds (US$60bn and $8bn respectively) that destroyed the lives of thousands of investors who had put their life savings into a 'wonderful' investment strategy. How so many people were sucked into the scheme is baffling to those on the outside. The lifestyle, the sales pitch, the success stories of the early investors - I suppose it all adds up.

So where does this link to racing you ask? A prominent Australian 'racing identity' this week has been reported to have lost access to a bank account with punters' club funds of $194m in it. Firstly - is there a worse term for anyone to be labelled with that 'racing identity'? It ALWAYS ends up meaning shonky crook! Secondly - who the hell has a punters' club with an active bankroll in the tens of millions? It simply can't be done.

The…

damage control when trading goals

When trades go bad, some people will say cut your losses immediately, others will recommend having a bit of patience as events tend to level out (i.e. games with two goals in the first 10 mins never end up with 18 goals in 90 minutes). This is something I like to do on certain matches.

Background:
1. You've backed Under 2.5 goals, trying to nick a few ticks at a time as the clock ticks.
2. You've been caught out by a goal.
3. The market has gone sharply against you.

On this particular match from a couple of weeks ago, there was an early goal (sixth minute) before I got involved. The period immediately after an early goal regularly shows a sharp drop in the Under price, so I was trying to capitalise on that. But Watford then scored again after 14 minutes. The Back price I took (3.95) was now out to 12 - I could close out for a big loss (not my style) or wait and wait for the price to come back to somewhere I could close out for minimal damage. But at 2-0 after 15 minutes, it w…