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Ripon Thurs Apr 20 2yo race review Div II

Ripon 1450 EBF Fillies Novice Stakes Div II
5f, Class 5, 59.90s
(slow by 1.90s)
Good to Firm

Capla Dancer. Apr 4, €6500 yearling out of mare who won once at Southwell. First crop sire who has now had two winners this week. Sat handy to the pace, moved up inside 2f to make her run. Battled hard to get past the leader in the final strides without being punished. Nice win. Started 66/1, Betfair SP was double, tote price less than half.

Faithful Promise. Feb 18, £48k yearling out of stakes-placed Coolmore mare who peaked at OR107. Backed up after debut run at Wolverhampton 12 days earlier. Straight to the lead from the gates, without much pressure. Challenged inside 2f, fought hard but overtaken in final strides. Solid run.

Flo's Melody. Feb 17, £28k yearling. Half-sister to three winners, dam had six tries at a C7 at Southwell and couldn't win off 40. Stable on fire with six 2yo winners (from 13 individual runners) already. Jumped right at the start, kicking off a chain reaction. Parked just behind the pace, couldn't go with them at the furlong when leaders went away, beat the rest clearly.

Listen Alexander. Jan 15, £55k yearling buyback by vendor. Trainer can't buy a winner at the moment (0-40 last 14 days) but has had several seconds with his 2yos. Sat handy, urged along at halfway, outpaced at crucial point and only plugged home.

Bow Belles. Apr 1, £19k yearling buyback by vendor. Half-sister has won one from 12 so far, peak of OR81. Forced right at the start due to wayward horses inside her. Settled at the back, never got into the race, battled home.

Showdancing, Feb 13, first foal, 42k gns yearling. Dam was a maiden from seven starts. Sat midfield, under hard riding at halfway. Checked for a few strides near the 2f pole but didn't show a great deal after that.

Kirbec, Feb 7. Feb 7, €6k yearling. Dwelt slightly, settled at the back, a bit green, didn't really know what to do. Wobbled around in the middle late, making no ground.

Nobrassnolass. Well supported on 10-day backup from Redcar. Spooked when Flo's Melody jumped right out of the gates, and went much further right without receiving any contact. Wanted to overrace after that, and ran a shocker. I'd forgive her, not sure those who backed her at 7/4 would.

KEY POINTS
When a 66/1 shot wins, it's unlikely to be a high-rating race. And based on RPRs, that is the case - in the bottom five of 2yo races so far this season.

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