Bath Monday May 1 2yo race review

Bath 1600 Mon May 1
Median Auction Stakes
5f10yds, Class 4, 1m1.73s (slow by 1.23s)
Firm

Rock of Estonia. Won on debut at Windsor three weeks previous. Jumped straight to the front. Challenged at 2f on both sides, showed big heart to fend off rivals on both sides and win pushed out hands & heels in the end, giving at least 11lbs to rest of field.

Joe's Spirit. Apr 1, £42k yearling (17k gns foal). Settled on the rail behind leader. Pushed through on the rail to lead by half-length at the furlong but run ended, only just held onto third.

Ghepardo. Apr 30, €20k yearling. Dam very slow but half-sister to handy 2yo Sir Reginald among others. Parked outside leader and appeared to be going better when challenging at 2f but couldn't go with front two. Kept working home late and still seemed to have something up sleeve on the line.

Cranworth Phoenix. Apr 6, half-sister to several winners. Reared at start, settled a few lengths behind. Never got near them.

Watch Tan - withdrawn at gates for refusing to go in.

KEY POINTS
Exceptionally tough effort from the winner conceding 11lbs. Second and third showed enough on debut to be confident of decent run next time out.

Comments

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

Betdaq.... sold...... FOR HOW MUCH???

So as rumoured for a while, Ladbrokes have finally acquired the lemon, sorry, purple-coloured betting exchange, Betdaq. For a mind-boggling €30m as 'initial consideration'. That's an even more ridiculous price than Fernando Torres for £50m, or any English player Liverpool have purchased in recent seasons! As I've written previously there are no logical business reasons for this acquisition. from Nov 29, 2012 The Racing Post reported this week that Ladbrokes are nearing a decision to acquire Betdaq. This baffles me, it really does. Betdaq are a complete and utter lemon. Their only rival in the market has kicked so many own goals over the years with the premium charge, followed by an increase in the premium charge, cost of API and data use, customer service standards which have fallen faster than Facebook share value, site crashes and various other faults. So many pissed off Betfair customers, yet Betdaq are still tailed off with a lap to go. Around the world, Betfair

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