Brighton Tues Apr 25 2yo race review

Brighton 1650 Tuesday April 25
Maiden Stakes
5.5f, Class 5, 1m2.56s (slow by 1.96s)
Good to Firm

Diamond Pursuit. Fifth at Wolverhampton at 50/1 on debut (made ground to finish fifth, beaten under two lengths at 50/1. Won't be that price next time). No I didn't remember that either... Sat wide and out of trouble, challenged for lead once they got to the bottom of the hill and was able to balance up. Took long time to wind up, just got there on the line.

Milton Road. Midfield on debut at Windsor, showed some promise. Pushed through in the middle upon straightening, squeezed slightly 100yds out which stopped jockey using whip when desired rather than stopping the horse. Just nosed out.

Declarationoflove. Fourth on debut at Windsor 15 days earlier. Straight to the front, challenged inside the furlong, couldn't sustain run and weakened late.

Controversial Lady. Limited in first two starts. Contested lead, one off the rail. Went backwards from the 1f pole.

Global Exceed. Jan 21, 200k gns yearling (90k gns foal). Only debutant of the field. Slow to begin, settled a couple of lengths behind, quite green. Always near the back but started to figure out what he was doing late. From Ed Dunlop stable, perhaps look back on him later in the season.

My Guy. Beaten a long way on debut at Bath 11 days earlier, but had played on way to barrier so could be forgiven somewhat. Settled on the rail behind the leader, under pressure at halfway and soon faded.

Key Points
Awful race, second lowest winning RPR of the season so far.

Comments

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur

Spot-fixing - you will never, ever be able to stop it

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lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

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Sport is made for betting

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