Skip to main content

Marygate Fillies Stakes preview - York 17/5/19

Fabulous race here with a big field of flying fillies. Some of them have started their careers in fine style, others will step big steps forward from their debuts. That's the beauty of 2yo racing, it's far more than just the bare form on the board.


Langleys Solicitors British EBF Marygate Fillies Stakes
5f, 2yo, Listed, GBP50,000
York, 1350 BST



Baileys in Bloom - unfancied on debut and quite erratic leaving the gates, but showed a good turn of foot when asked, to score at Beverley. Doubt that form is particularly strong but showed enough to believe she will get better with more racing. Very early foal (Jan 12) which is beneficial in early part of the season.

Chasanda - 25/1 winner on debut then beaten by a couple of today's rivals at subsequent starts. More exposed than all bar one of these, and trainer known for hitting the ground running, rather than steady progression. Will be a big price.

Companion - won by a nostril at Yarmouth on debut against a Godolphin runner who was beaten at odds-on earlier this week. Not sure about the strength of form, but entitled to respect with de Sousa aboard a Mark Johnston-trained filly.

Fleeting Princess - impressed with a comfortable win on debut at Yarmouth, with seemingly plenty left in the tank. Jeremy Noseda has had great success with his juveniles this week, for two wins and a third. Drawn in the middle to park nicely in behind the pace, wherever it is, and has the master, Ryan Moore aboard. Hard to beat.

Galadriel - has picked a hot race to make her debut in. Given the connections, you'd be surprised if they were wasting their time. Big watch.

Good Vibes - won a nice conditions race at Salisbury despite racing greenly, beating a previous winner. Might kick on but there's no room for rolling about in the straight in this class.

Great Dame - nice win last week at Chester on a track heavily favouring leaders. Probably less up the sleeve having three runs but she will almost certainly be in the mix for a long way.

Infinite Grace - stablemate of Great Dame, and finished close behind her at Ripon on debut. Jockey booking suggests they're not expecting a great step forward.

Iva Go - won at Beverley on second start (4/9) but regressed on ratings. Big step up required here.

Lady Fanditha - winner on debut for Clive Cox who doesn't usually throw them in the deep end without good reason. Respect.

Lady Kermit - flying machine who routed the field on debut at Kempton, then followed up a fortnight later with a comfortable win at Newcastle. Archie Watson's juveniles have started the season in briliant form - does everyone else start catching up now or do the better ones keep on going? Clearly ahead of these on ratings, will she transfer that ability to turf?

Lady Quickstep - backed from 25s into 16s when winning by four lengths on debut at Brighton. Hard to knock good form but beat one of Archie Watson's weaker fillies on that occasion, now she's up against the very best of them.

Macho Touch - ran freely when beaten almost 10L behind Lady Kermit on debut. Trainer's 2yos always make a big improvement at their second start but at least much is needed.

Mighty Spirit - missed the start on debut and ran on nicely to run second to Lady Kermit, probably the season's best 2yo so far. Likely to improve for the run, but how much exactly?

Ruby Wonder - second to Baileys In Bloom on debut and then repeated the result again at Beverley without an improvement in rating. Third string from the O'Meara stable on jockey bookings.

Separate - Hannon runner, second on debut at Newbury, likely to be rated highly in a traditionally strong juvenile stable. Frankie aboard, drawn next to Fleeting Princess.

Silver Start - won on debut at Bath, not a venue I'd automatically associate with the starting point of high-grade racing careers, but I have been assured otherwise by none other than Charlie Hills himself!

Taste The Nectar - played up pre-race before finishing one length second to Fleeting Princess on debut at Yarmouth. Connections not known for 2yos, one to keep an eye on.

Yarrow Gate - fourth on debut behind Infinite Grace. Big improvement required.



Inclined to go with Fleeting Princess based on debut run and stable form this week. With plenty of untapped potential here, the price will be decent enough in this field. Kevin Ryan must have a high opinion of Galadriel to pitch her in here and Separate to fill the placings. Lady Kermit sets a high benchmark but not sure if she's a 'March champion', brilliant on debut then the others who are prepared with more patience soon catch up.

2pt win Fleeting Princess
0.5pt EW Galadriel

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Spot-fixing - you will never, ever be able to stop it

According to this report , IPL tournaments so far have been rife with spot-fixing - that is fixing minor elements of the game - runs in a single over, number of wides bowled etc. The curious part of that article is that the Income Tax department are supposed to have found these crimes. What idiot would be stupid enough to put down 'big wad of cash handed to me by bookie' as a source of income? Backhanders for sportsmen, particularly in a celebrity- and cricket-obsessed culture like India are not rare. They could come from anything like turning up to open someone's new business (not a sponsor, but a 'friend of a friend' arrangement), to being a guest at some devoted fan's dinner party etc. The opportunities are always there, and there will always be people trying to become friends with players and their entourage - that is human nature. This form of match-fixing (and it's not really fixing a match, just a minor element of it) is very hard to prove, but also,

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

It's all gone Pete Tong at Betfair!

The Christmas Hurdle from Leopardstown, a good Grade 2 race during the holiday period. But now it will go into history as the race which brought Betfair down. Over £21m at odds of 29 available on Voler La Vedette in-running - that's a potential liability of over £500m. You might think that's a bit suspicious, something's fishy, especially with the horse starting at a Betfair SP of 2.96. Well, this wasn't a horse being stopped by a jockey either - the bloody horse won! Look at what was matched at 29. Split that in half and multiply by 28 for the actual liability for the layer(s). (Matched amounts always shown as double the backers' stake, never counts the layers' risk). There's no way a Betfair client would have £600m+ in their account. Maybe £20 or even £50m from the massive syndicates who regard(ed) Betfair as safer than any bank, but not £600m. So the error has to be something technical. However, rumour has it, a helpdesk reply (not gospel, natur