Skip to main content

Women's Olympic cycling preview

Here's @wheelie1977's look at the women's cycling programme...

------------

I wouldn't be getting overly carried away with women's racing as I don't follow it as much as I could. That said, some of the best racing out there on the track is in the women's events - there's a certain amount of pure hatred in it !

Track

Sprint & Keirin


I'll start off with Anna Meares versus Victoria Pendleton. This should be the most interesting of the events as there's no love lost. Some of you may have watched the recent documentary on Pendleton and she's quite a brittle character behind it all. However she's got the leading sports scientist returning to her team (also her fiancee) and the team behind her is stellar so she will be in the best form of her life going into the event. Everyone agrees that she is probably the best of them all when in form and that includes the Aussie Meares.

It stands to reason then that if you believe that she can get back to her form of the last Olympics, Pendleton stands a very good chance of a double gold. The World Champs would have been Pendleton at 85% and she won Gold in the Sprint but was surprisingly beaten in the Keirin Heats. I wouldn't think she'll make that mistake in London and I make her at least a joint favourite and certainly not a general 4/1

I think it's a 2 horse race in the Sprint and again I think home form may help Pendleton and so I'm predicting a double Gold for the Queen of British cycling.

Advised Bet

Keirin 1pt @ 4/1 Vicky Pendleton
Sprint 1pt @ 2/1 Vicky Pendleton

Team Sprint

Two World Records in 2012 World Champs against the home nation and still Germany are second favourites? It wasn't even a shock result, they were savagely quick. Anna Meares was 3/10ths of a second up on the first standing lap but still the Aussies lost 4/10 to Vogel on the second lap - that's an astonishing turn around and can be looked at in 2 ways. Either the Aussie Number 2 was off form or the Germans were sizzling. I'm thinking maybe a bit of both and we should see a right battle but I'll stick with the World Champs and World Record Holders at the prices.

Advised Bet

Germany 1pt @ 15/8 (Coral, William Hill)

Omnium

Laura Trott is a brilliant young cyclist. I'm not looking any further than her. if you get a chance have a look at the Elimination race in the World Champs, one of the best displays I've ever seen!

Advised Bet

Laura Trott 2.5pts @ 2/1 Boylesports

Women's Time Trial

Judith Arndt and Emma Pooley go head to head on a flat course and the power of the German should see her through. She's a big time Championship performer and current World Champion.

Advised Bet

2pts Judith Arndt @ 9/4 in BWIN (2/1 Generally)

Women's Road Race

This may well end in a bunch finish and my money goes then on the American Shelley Olds who is one of the quickest riders in the ladies peleton. Although all eyes will be on Marianne Vos, the Dutch woman serially under performs at big Championships - she's a 4 time silver medallist at the World Championships despite being the best rider in the World. If it comes to a sprint she will medal again but it's quite open between 3 of them - I include Georgia Bronzini who would be outright favourite if a bunch sprint is imminent. The recent Giro Donne shows there's not much between all 3 but at the prices Olds make a lot of appeal.

Advised Bet

Shelley Olds
1.5pts e/w @ 12/1 (Pays 1,2,3) Ladbrokes, Boylesports

Comments

  1. a quid super yankee (26 quid) on the 5 selections with Boylesports, leaving out Germany in the Team Sprint, pays 4,854. be rude not to dip one's toe in there!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi, Do you use a 1-5 unit staking system?

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi Zepp,

    Wheelie and I both do, but can't guarantee it for other writers.

    Thanks for reading my blog.

    Cheers
    Scott

    ReplyDelete

Post a Comment

Thanks for your comments, but if you're a spammer, you've just wasted your time - it won't get posted.

Popular posts from this blog

lay the field - my favourite racing strategy

Dabbling with laying the field in-running at various prices today, not just one price, but several in the same race. Got several matched in the previous race at Brighton, then this race came along at Nottingham. Such a long straight at Nottingham makes punters often over-react and think the finish line is closer than it actually is. As you can see by the number of bets matched, there was plenty of volatility in this in-play market. It's rare you'll get a complete wipe-out with one horse getting matched at all levels, but it can happen, so don't give yourself too much risk...

Gimcrack Stakes preview

The final day of the Ebor Festival has a great spread of races, and just one of them could be described as having a clear-cut favourite. A solid reward for anyone who can find a winner.

The 2yo feature of the day is the Gimcrack Stakes, and saddling up again for the preview is Darren Goodbody, @DarrenPGoodbody. You can read more of his work here.

----------------------

Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Gimcrack Stakes
Group 2, 6f, 2yo C&G
£220,000
1510 local 0010 AEST


What a week it has been on the Knavesmire, some impressive juveniles to keep on the note book especially Tasleet of William Haggas's and Wesley Ward's Acapulco who impressed me taking on older horses, but even though with the 29lb allowance he could not over come proven Group 3 winning sprinter Mecca's Angel.

Mark Johnston has not improved on his six percent average here at York and I have reservations that it is going to improve with Buratino or Ode the Evening. The Listed Woodcote Stakes and Group 3 Coven…

Villiers Stakes preview

The highlight of summer racing in Sydney is the Villiers Stakes. Tasked with the preview is Mitch Fenton.

-------------------

Villiers StakesRandwick, G2, 1600m
1615 local time, 0515 GMT

Form link

Website
Twitter: @weekndkngracing
Facebook: /weekendking


The most reliable guide to the Gr2 Villiers has always been the Festival Stakes.

I’m going to stick with that form line; here’s the horses who ran in the Festival, running today.

1 I'm Imposing (55.5) 20-1
2 [0.1] Estonian Princess (54) 7-1
3 [0.3] Strawberry Boy (57.5) 6-1
5 [1.7] Sir Moments (56) 11-2
6 [2.5] Multilateral (54) 60-1
7 [3.8] Scream Machine (56) 20-1
8 [4.3] Aomen (58.5) 30-1
11 [6.8] Monton (60) 16-1
12 [8.0] Keep Cool (54) 80-1

Out of all those runs in the Festival, Strawberry Boy was a clear top pick for mine.

He worked very hard out in front with his 1500m to 600m times and was 3L quicker than the average. He was entitled to drop out of the race but instead he fought on dogged…