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Showing posts from September, 2013

NFL Betting Preview – Steelers at Vikings @ Wembley

The NFL convoy returns to Wembley tomorrow, unfortunately the two sides they've picked are having rotten seasons so far. Perhaps it'll be a decent contest then rather than a blowout like some years. In charge of the preview is an old mate of mine who happens to be an NFL guru - Andy Richmond. Follow him @bickley14 and read his great work at Betting Insight.

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NFL Betting Preview – Steelers at Vikings



The NFL comes to London with the first game to be played at Wembley Stadium this year although I’m sure that the league didn’t envisage the two teams involved being 0-6 between them and they have both struggled this year; at least one of them will break their duck here. The Steelers are rated favourites across the board and best priced at the strange price of 5/7 (1.71) with the Vikings at a best price of 11/8 (2.38) and Pittsburgh are generally asked to give up three points in the market on the handicap.

As mentioned before these two have yet to put a W in the…

Jockey Club Gold Cup preview

Super Saturday at Belmont racetrack in New York. Regular US racing contributor Jon da Silva, @creamontop chimes in with some previews of a fantastic day's racing.

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Jockey Club Gold Cup
1 mile 2F Dirt
Belmont


BTW if you want to visit a race meeting in the US, this is the one! You get five Group 1s costing $2 to get in. Contested in front of a minuscule crowd in a stand capable of holding 10s of 1000s. Pick your row not just your seat.

Although this is clearly a big prize and before the Breeders Cup would have been a season-ending super race. Now it's the final prep where many 3 year olds will try the older brigade for the first time.

This race would not disgrace a Breeders Cup Classic frankly. We have: classic winners Orb and Palace Malice: against the upcoming sensation Cross Traffic: the King of Belmont and holder Flat Out: not to mention the horse Alpha who pipped him in the Whitney with one writer looking like a douche having said he was a goat: no…

Joe Hirsch Classic preview

Super Saturday at Belmont racetrack in New York. Regular US racing contributor Jon da Silva, @creamontop chimes in with some previews...

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Joe Hirsch Classic
1mile 4f Turf
Belmont


Joe Hirsch was a sportswriter apparently. Of course I always think of this as the Judd Hirsch the star of Taxi which broke the view that US comedy was not funny something Friends spent 10 series proving was true after all.

You probably want a Bookies to back this with all the dual entries. Timeform are predicting a fast pace here and Brisnet pace horses run from 0 to 8 and we have two 8s and a 7 = Burn up.

Imagining (coupled with Boisterous)
Allowance and stakes horse seeming exposed in graded company.

Boisterous (coupled with Imagining)
Has wins over Big Blue Kitten but beaten last two including by the progressive Big Blue Kitten over course and distance. Won the Man O War grade 1 earlier this year however beaten in a grade 2 last time. Not clear why he should bounce back a…

Football Form Labs weekend preview

Another big weekend of football ahead - make sure any gut feelings you have are backed up by data, otherwise your P&L will pay the price. Courtesy of Football Form Labs, here's a tiny sample of what their software can do for you.

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The Football Form Labs promotion ends this weekend - Massive Savings – at least 66% off! Sign up now and pay that price for the length of your subscription.

Football Form Labs provide the most effective football betting software on the market with the ability to analyse games both pre-match and in-play across 50 different leagues. You can also generate your own models and see the statistical impact players have when they are missing. Football Form Labs' great subscription offers for the season have been extended until the end of September.

Form Lab Black is down from £150pm to £40pm (£100/qtr, £300/annual) – Try Form Lab Black here with Promo-code: FLBPROMOMONTHLY

Form Lab MAX is down from £75pm to £20pm (£50/qtr, £150/annu…

Sun Chariot Stakes preview

It's a quality card at Newmarket tomorrow. The 'name' race is the Cambridgeshire (preview up in the morning) but the class of the day comes in the Sun Chariot Stakes. Declan Meagher, @declanmeagher76, casts a discerning eye over this year's classy field. You can read more of his work on his site, LearnBetWin.

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Sun Chariot Stakes – Tips and Preview – 3.10 Newmarket

Seven runners go to post for tomorrow’s Sun Chariot Stakes at Newmarket, and I preview and provide my tips for the race. It looks a pretty good renewal as 3 of the 7 contenders have already won a group 1 this season. The ground at Newmarket today was good to firm, good in places. I’m not sure if they intend to water this evening but with no rain forecast the ground should be similar tomorrow.

Sky Lantern is favourite for this, although I don’t understand how the 7/4 quotes are arrived at. Her most visually impressive performance so far was when winning the Coronation Stakes by 4l …

Cycling World Championship Road Race preview

The UCI Road World Championships are taking place in Florence this week, with the big finale being the Elite Road Race. Who better to draft in for the preview than the expert... For premium quality cycling tips, follow @wheeliebets and sign up to his service via his site. Here is his free preview without odds references.

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World Championship Road Race

I have gone over this race in my mind 100 times already and it's actually given me sleepless nights. It's my joint favourite race along with the Tour of Flanders simply because it's often a political game of enthralling tactics and broken promises year on year. In my opinion, recent editions in Copenhagen and Geelong devalued the race and even Valkenberg didn't serve up the treat I expected but this Firenze course promises so much, just waiting to see how the tactics will work on a course that is twisting and turning and expected to be run off in wet conditions. Add in a few climbs and the best climbers t…

Silver Cambridgeshire preview

Apologies for the late posting, please welcome to the blog a new contributor, and an old contact of mine, someone I taught in the Betfair Academy many years ago.
Welcome aboard Billy Blakeman.....

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Following the relatively new trend of running the same big handicap twice, or even three times to allow those that did not make the cut for the big one a consolation race, the ‘Silver Cambridgeshire’ is run over the Cambridgeshire course and distance.

@five2tenracing specialise in 5f to 10f all-aged handicaps and here, chief analyst Billy Blakeman breezes through the 28-runners. Billy writes for a number of sites and his work can be found at BetRacingNation and his OLBG blog.

HAAFHD Handicap (Silver Cambridgeshire)
5.00 Newmarket
1m1f Class 2


1. NICEOFYOUTOTELLME - Improved on his 3-y-o form when winning an AW handicap in April and followed up on turf a couple of months later. Not gone on from that upped in class but slow start a valid excuse for his John Smiths Cup …

Moir Stakes preview

The biggest non-racing sporting event of the year takes place in Melbourne this weekend, the AFL Grand Final, which moves metropolitan racing to Friday night at Moonee Valley and Sunday at Caulfield. So we get the rare treat of a Group 1 night race. The big sprint race of the weekend takes place at the Valley, and the preview is provided by regular contributor Lara Pocock. Follow her @lara_pocock or read her blog.

For a formguide to this race, visit Racenet.

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Moir Stakes

The 1200 metres Moir Stakes will be run at Group One level for the first time this evening at Moonee Valley and will feature a field of ten, including a number of Group One winners and performers. The race will be run as the final race on the flood lit card to maximise betting turnover, a decision which has not pleased everyone.

1. Buffering
The perennial Group One performer won this race last year when it was run at Group Two status but has been unable to break through record his maiden G…

Oh So Sharp Stakes preview

Newmarket's Cambridgeshire Festival is underway and tomorrow's meeting begins with a Group III race for the 2yo fillies. And when the babies of the turf are in action, who better to call upon than @twoyearoldtips. For previews of juvenile races all year round, visit his blog.

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Aqlaam Oh So Sharp Stakes, 1.40pm, 7f, Group III

Gown- Charlie Hills inmate who was a fortunate winner of a Sandown nursery off of 72 on her penultimate outing. Was unable to win off 76 in a nursery on her most recent start and looks to be flying too high in this company.

Lightning Thunder- Unbeaten filly who comes here having won a conditions race at Doncaster last time. The runner up that day Justice Day is a useful tool, albeit likely flattered by his OR of 101, and her performance can be upgraded as she had a difficult passage early on. Showed a good attitude to get up close home that day and very much respected back against her own sex.

Midnite Angel- Richard Hannon juvenile who des…

Football derby day previews from Football Form Labs

With the formlines getting stronger each week, the quality of data from Football Form Labs gets better. There are a couple of big Sunday derbies in Europe this weekend, so let's remove the emotion and take a look at the cold hard facts.

The Football Form Labs promotion has been extended for September - Massive Savings – at least 66% off! Sign up now and pay that price for the length of your subscription.

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Football Form Labs provide the most effective football betting software on the market with the ability to analyse games both pre-match and in-play across 50 different leagues. You can also generate your own models and see the statistical impact players have when they are missing. Football Form Labs' great subscription offers for the season have been extended into September.

Form Lab Black is down from £150pm to £40pm (£100/qtr, £300/annual) – Try Form Lab Black here with Promo-code: FLBPROMOMONTHLY

Form Lab MAX is down from £75pm to £20pm (£50/qtr, £…

NFC ante-post previews

I posted the ante-post expertise of Ian Steven, @deevo82, a couple of weeks ago from the AFC, I'd neglected to complete the set with the NFC. Here they are...

Please note, these were written on Sep 15, so there may be some slight changes to prices etc...

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NFC West

This might be the toughest division in the NFL. San Francisco are the losing Super Bowl finalists after a momentous collapse at the hands of Baltimore. There is a definite hangover attached to losing in the Super Bowl and not making it back to the big show the following year but the Niners may have enough talent to escape that hoodoo. Colin Kaepernick has quickly become one of the NFL’s hottest commodities after stepping into the breech last season when Alex Smith went down in Week 10. Frank Gore is still a capable running back despite edging close to the dreaded age 30 when halfbacks traditionally fall off the cliff in terms of ability. Their offensive line is more than serviceable and their def…

Underwood Stakes preview

The action hots up every week in Melbourne through to the Melbourne Cup with most racing enthusiasts salivating at possibly the strongest WFA field in decades tomorrow at Caulfield. Can the nation's latest super mare, Atlantic Jewel, live up to the hype? This is the race to prove it, surely the Cox Plate can't get much tougher than this.

Saddling up to provide the preview for the blog is Melbourne form specialist, media identity and ranter extraordinaire, Racetrack Ralphy. Download his iPhone app for his astute race analysis including all-important speed maps or subscribe via his website, RacetrackRalphy.

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Race 9 - Hyland Race Colours Underwood Stakes

Race Time:4:55pm
Track:Slow
Weather:Showers
Distance:1800m
Race Overview
Basic numbers: 12-11-7-8

ATLANTIC JEWEL is the headline act and the new superstar of Australian racing, but today tells exactly what she's got under the bonnet as a serious Cox Plate chance. Around Caulfield and over 1800 she has…

Take a crack at the Colossus

I'll preface this by saying I'm not the biggest football fan in the world, however as you might have guessed from my blog name I love a punt, love most sports and love having a crack at huge pool bets. Previously they've mostly been restricted to horse racing, now we have a format to win a mint on a bunch of football matches. Naturally, it ain’t easy!

Let's look at this week's Colossus coupon. Off the back of a Champions and Europa League midweek schedule, I had hoped to take on several of those teams, but the shrewd chaps picking the card have avoided most of them! I'm going for where the big money is - if there's £10m up for grabs, why waste time attacking pools to win a few grand?

(Also posted on the Colossus Bets blog)

Have a crack yourself by signing up at ColossusBets and use my Refer and Earn code - RAFMRN9VW1. Just for using that code, you will get three free chances to win the £10m Colossus, after making a deposit.

West Brom v Sunderland

A cl…

A series of links on this week's match-fixing stories