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Breeders' Cup Sprint preview

One of the great stories of the Breeders' Cup will be if the unfashionable Runhappy wins the Breeders' Cup Sprint. It's a fascinating story, read more below. This highly detailed preview comes courtesy of geegeez.co.uk . To find the full detail of their comprehensive Breeders Cup previews, click here . --------------------- 6.50pm GMT Breeders Cup Sprint Key Trends (31 renewals to date)  25 of the 31 winners had 5+ seasonal races  At least one 6f win AND a sharp run at 7f in the last 12 months is a solid recent angle  8 of last 12 had a 35-63 day layoff (though this is not a strong angle)  28 of 31 had won a Graded stakes that season  All of the last 21 winners had at least a 50% 1-2 strike rate at 6f  16 of the last 22 had 2+ 6f wins that season  16 of the last 21 showed a bullet workout leading up to the race  10 of the last 17 hit Beyer top LTO (interesting, though not solid, angle)  16 of31 winners were based in Southern California, including 3 ...

Breeders Cup Filly and Mare Turf preview

More from the Breeders Cup, this time the Filly and Mare Turf from American racing form student, Jon da Silva, @creamontop . ----------------------- Breeders Cup Filly and Mare Turf Group 1, 1mile 3/16s, US$1.8m 1310 local, 1810 GMT, 0710 AEDST With the Nassau, Yorkshire Oaks, l'Opera, St Leger and Champions Day F&M all going to 3 yo fillies and Found almost doing the colts in the Irish and UK Champion Stakes and Legatissimo with claims to be the best, Legatissimo is the one to beat. Euro 2nd tier hosses like Cannock Chase, Curvy, Flintshire, Secret Gesture & Mondialiste have all crossed the line first in North America. She is well drawn [3] inside to stalk likely pacesetter Sentiero Italia [2]. The contrary view would be that at a mile the 3yo fillies have been found out to a degree with Esoterique, Amazing Maria and Integral handing out the slappings. In the Matron which Legatissimo won easily Amazing Maria did not give her running. Legatissimo has lost 3 of her ...

Charlie Hall Chase preview

October's a funny time for racing in Britain but jumps season really gets going with the Charlie Hall Chase. This year, be thankful we actually know what distance the race is being run over . Taking up the challenge is the astute Nick Palfrey, @8palfrey8 , and you can read more of his work on his blog . ---------------------- Bet365 Charlie Hall Chase Grade 2, £100,000, Three Miles 45y 1505 local 0205 GMT Saturday's renewal of Wetherby's greatest race has a small but very select field for the second consecutive season - In fact I can't remember off the top of my head two better renewals. Menorah attempts win the race again and faces a tough task with his 10lb penalty. Yes, he had to give away the same sort of weight last season but the two horses who benefited the most, Wayward Prince and Medermit, haven't the class that Cue Card, Dynaste and Ballynagour have. These three high class animals are most advantaged by the penalty values in tomorrow's conte...

Breeders Cup Classic preview

The biggest race of all at the Breeders' Cup is the big finale, the Breeders' Cup Classic. G1 winners galore, but best of all, Triple Crown winner American Pharoah versus the Irish 3yo mile star, Gleneagles. Taking the reins is international racecalling prodigy Luke Humphreys, @worldracingluke . ------------------------ Breeders’ Cup Classic Keeneland (United States of America) Ground: Fast (Dirt) Race 11 G1 3yo+ 2000m Dirt $5,000,000 Odds are Best Priced at Time of Writing 1 Tonalist (8/1) (United States of America): Model of consistency that never runs a bad race. Famous for being the victor of the 2014 G1 Belmont Stakes, California Chrome’s Triple Crown bid. Clear 2nd to Honor Code in the G1 Metropolitan Handicap in June and his latest G1 runs include a never nearer 3rd in the G1 Whitney Stakes and an absolute romp in the G1 Jockey Club Gold Cup Stakes for the 2nd year in a row. Got way too far back in this last year and absolutely stormed home for 5th, probably u...

JNWine.com Champion Chase

It's not just flat racing exciting everyone this weekend, the traditionalists have their jumps racing to warm to as well. Over in the north of Ireland, it's off to Down Royal for the Champion Chase, as previewed by regular contributor David Stephens, @DaveStevos . --------------------------- JNWine.com Champion Chase Grade 1, Down Royal, Three Miles €140,000 1440 local Saturday is the day that the National Hunt season feels like it really gets under way, and some of the discipline's biggest stars will be strutting their stuff on both sides of the Irish Sea. The Champion Chase at Down Royal has traditionally been a good pointer for bigger days later in the season and past winners include classy grey The Listener, the enigmatic Beef Or Salmon and of course the legendary Kauto Star. Road To Riches took the prize last year, but he isn't back to defend his crown. Unfortunately only four of the eleven contenders that were left in yesterday have stood their ground,...

Myer Classic preview

Amongst the Group 1s at Flemington on Derby Day is the fillies and mares edition, or what the Yanks might call the Distaff (a word seemingly exclusive to them). Welcome aboard to Brent making his blog debut. Follow him on @HV_racingpundit to catch more of his astute discussion. ------------------------------- Myer Classic Group 1, AU$500,000, 1600m 1635 local, 0535 GMT Form guide Odds Comparison The Myer Classic which is run over the mile brings together the top fillies and mares from around the country. Since it was first run as an all females race (1988) there has never been a 3YO filly take out and a few gun fillies have tried. The great Alinghi back in 2004 went down by a head to Miss Potential and since then only one other filly has even attempted this feat. That brings me to my first horse. STAY WITH ME I must admit that I have being following this horse all prep, highlighted as my Thousand Guineas horse weeks I advance. I was not concerned when she never figured ...

Breeders Cup Mile preview

It has been a few years since the Breeders Cup has ventured outside of California, but it's back to Keeneland for 2015. It's the touring party of European raiders that add the cream and intrigue to this event, and the Mile has been a regular source of success for them. Taking the reins to preview the Mile is blog regular, Chris Day @chrisday100 ----------------------------- Breeders Cup Mile Group 1, Turf, One Mile, US$1.8m Saturday 1430 local, 1930 GMT, Sunday 0830 AEDST Of all the races run at this meeting in my memory, the mile is the race which stands out as the one most suited to European horses. Coming late in the season it is not surprising that French trainers, who traditionally shun the high summer showpieces in favour of Longchamp in October, have won the race ten times, as their best horses are generally fresher than their British and Irish counterparts. Turf racing in the States is always viewed as the poor relation and, although American previewers seem t...

Victoria Derby preview

Derby Day! It's here! Well, in a a day and a half anyway. The greatest raceday in the southern hemisphere, with black type racing from start to finish. and to preview the eponymous race, it's over to the experts at Premium Racing Services , @PremiumRacingS . ------------------------------- AAMI Victoria Derby Group 1 for 3yo, AU$1.5m, 2500m 1550 local, 0450 GMT Form guide Odds comparison PRS Speed Map There is very good speed present with Ayers Rock likely to be adamant of crossing and leading. With only a 200m run to the tight first turn there will be a tight battle for the spots behind him. This leaves the ones drawn wider to be disadvantaged. It is expected they will bowl along at least at a genuine speed. Our Market: This market is of our systems ‘raw’ prices which is set to 100% with every runner rated >$21 eliminated. PRS clients get a market As you can see on our raw market, we believe the race to be thinner than what the public markets suggest. ...

W.S. Cox Plate preview

Cox Plate day is one of the great days of Australian racing. In the 'fishbowl' that is Moonee Valley, it's a unique test for elite thoroughbreds with the crowd closer than any other major track in the country. Last year signified the arrival of the internationals. Not the first time they'd come, but the first time they'd cracked it. Now it can be done, will the floodgates open? Once again, for premium Aussie racing, you need premium analysis and that comes from Premium Racing Services , @PremiumRacingS . ------------------------- William Hill Cox Plate Group 1, 2040m, AU$3,000,000 1740 local, 0740 BST Form guide Looks a very high level edition of the race with the majority of runners already producing a performance rating above the historical benchmark required to win the race. PRS Speed Map We have quite a high predicted pace rating for this race, even if excluding the presence of The Cleaner in the race who is sure to lead. 2/3 runs this campai...